Thursday, April 13, 2017

The popularity of Assad.

When Assad did stand for reelection in 2014, after 14 years of unopposed rule, in a contested election that was judged "free, fair, and transparent" by an international commission of observers, headed by Jimmy Carter--Assad won 88% of the vote if such a thing is possible. That's 3 percentage points higher than Putin's highest point of genuine popularity. Could it be?

* * * *

The neocons were shocked (Like the "liberated" Iraqis not greeting our invading forces in 2003 with flowers.) But Assad's popularity is really not so hard to fathom. For while both he and his father, Hafez al-Assad, did rule as dictators--even brutal dictators at times--they were also "enlightened" dictators in the sense that they well understood that even dictators ultimately only govern with the consent of the governed; and that it was therefore in their interest to respect the rights, especially the religious rights, of all of their citizens, while simultaneously emphasizing the unifying feeling and concept of a shared secular identity among their citizens as "Arabs" and more specifically "Syrians."[1]

Notes
[1] Don't Blame Assad for Syrian Gas Attack Yet." By Dr. William Wedin, Russia Insider, 4/8/17.

Wednesday, April 12, 2017

The Common Carrier Conundrum

     At this point, everyone in the known universe (i.e., Mount Sinai, NY and its immediate environs) has heard more than he cares to know about the April 9 foofaurauw over United Airlines’ forcible deplaning of a passenger. The airline definitely mishandled the matter not once but twice: first in the method used to remove David Dao from the airliner; second in attempting to improve its public-relations position by publicizing unpleasant facts about Dao’s past and his behavior during the incident. So the airline has a self-inflicted black eye from the event that’s unlikely to heal quickly.

     Yet even with all of that, I have some sympathy for UA. It’s a common carrier, as are all airlines that fly out of federally controlled airports, and the law treats such organizations as a lower species of creature:

     A common carrier in common law countries (corresponding to a public carrier in civil law systems, usually called simply a carrier) is a person or company that transports goods or people for any person or company and that is responsible for any possible loss of the goods during transport. A common carrier offers its services to the general public under license or authority provided by a regulatory body. The regulatory body has usually been granted "ministerial authority" by the legislation that created it. The regulatory body may create, interpret, and enforce its regulations upon the common carrier (subject to judicial review) with independence and finality, as long as it acts within the bounds of the enabling legislation. [Wikipedia]

     Under the law, a common carrier is obligated to provide its services more or less automatically to anyone who requests them. There are exceptions, of course, but they’re dictated by federal law: e.g., a common carrier must follow the law about who may bring a weapon with him. Anyone not a member of a legally exempted category must be serviced upon request.

     Add that to UA’s obligation under its union contracts to return employees displaced in the course of their duties to their home bases. Suddenly, UA is caught between two fires. Even though it was contractually and legally in the right in selecting a random passenger to be removed, the implied denial of service puts the airline in obligation to that passenger for any losses he incurs for having been removed – and as you can see from the available videos of the incident, David Dao was both vociferous about his losses-to-be and determined to incur a couple of new ones.

     Once again, there are exceptions to the carrier’s liability for such losses:

     Common carriers are subject to special laws and regulations that differ depending on the means of transport used, e.g. sea carriers are often governed by quite different rules from road carriers or railway carriers. In common law jurisdictions as well as under international law, a common carrier is absolutely liable for goods carried by it, with four exceptions:
  • An act of nature
  • An act of the public enemies
  • Fault or fraud by the shipper
  • An inherent defect in the goods

     It is unlikely that any of those exceptions will be found to apply to the UA / David Dao case.

     Yes, the airline handled the matter badly. It could have continued to escalate its offer of compensation until cupidity persuaded some passenger to accept. It certainly didn’t need to smear David Dao, though the temptation, given Dao’s determination to make a fight of it, was surely strong. Yet I have some sympathy for any organization that, when caught between Scylla and Charybdis, loses its way. Under such inflexible conditions, with the harsh light of publicity shining upon it, to blunder into either the monster’s jaws or the whirlpool’s maw is easier than the uninvolved might imagine.

You know you're in trouble when . . .

When, that is, you pay close attention to a press conference after the foreign ministers of two major nuclear powers hold a meeting in Moscow.

To be interested in what government officials say is not a sign that world affairs are humming along as they should under the firm hand of rational, normal human beings. It bespeaks a concern that something is unbalanced and that irrational or illegitimate force is a possibility in the near term. At least in my view. What strikes me as "must watch" isn't what anyone else should go along with.

I have these thoughts about what I saw:

  1. U.S. Secretary of State, Tillerson came across as an arrogant man, a classic example of America, the arbiter of the fate of mankind, the Dudley Do-Right before whom the waves must part.

    We've got conclusive evidence that Bashar al-Assad planned, directed, and executed the recent chemical weapons attack in Syria and that Assad has a history of such awful behavior. Even criminal prosecution for war crimes is being considered. The days of Bashar al-Assad and the Assad family are limited.

    Awareness of or concern for what might follow after successful completion of Job Number One = zero. Assad did it, he's trash, he's toast, sauve qi peut, bichez.

    And, yes, K-Mart shoppers, Russia did decide to stick its fingers into the giant fur ball, maelstrom, NASCAR pileup, cat fight, and National Organization of Wymen convention that is American presidential politics. For which, mind you, further sanctions against Russia would be warranted.

    They are evil geniuses and they provided crucial evidence of Hillary's health problems and grotesque corruption in the form of laughable "speaking fees" and "contributions" to the Clinton Foundation. No one in West Virginia had any clue beforehand that Bill'swife (with a sidekick with disturbing Saudi Arabian connections) wanted a war on coal. And no one else had figured out that she was lying through her teeth about the loss of at least three fine Americans in Benghazi and that she had cackled with delight over the death of Muammar Gaddafi.

    No sociopathy here.

  2. Russian Foreign Minister, Sergey Lavrov, by way of stark contrast, came across as a sensible and healthy individual not at all arrogant. He is fully committed to an investigation of recent events in Syria rather than going off halfcocked a la You Know Who.

    "Ready, aim, fire" as opposed to "fire."

    He noted the Syrian request for an investigation by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons with approval.

    Mr. Lavrov also noted the history of the U.S. over many years of being fixated on regime change. E.g., Serbia (with U.S. bombing of a TV station and other civilian targets and the Chinese embassy), Libya, and Iraq, I think he mentioned. He sensibly argued that what takes place in Syria should be determined by democratic means whereby the people of Syria can determine what they want.

    The matter of regime change should be considered in the light of what has happened when that approach was implemented before.

The press conference:

As various commenters around the web have asked, What happened to improving relations with Russia and abandoning moronic ideas about playing God in Syria?

A tragedy is about to unfold with this degree of American arrogance and deceit at work.

Edit

Minor edit 4/13/17.

More Pearls of expression.

This article should be used as an example of the absolute meaning of the word "farfetched".
Comment by Constantin2 on "Why Did Assad Use Nerve Gas?" By Stephen Bryen and Shoshana Bryen, American Thinker, 4/6/17.

Tuesday, April 11, 2017

More On Politicized Fiction

     Yesterday’s emission drew the usual angry dissents from a gaggle of the usual suspects. They bore a certain aroma of desperation, as if the writers were straining to convince themselves. But really, that’s not unusual. Oftentimes, when the evidence contradicts a man’s preconceptions, his immediate reaction is to deny it, or failing that, to screen it off (Eric Hoffer) so that it will cease to disturb him. Ultimately it won’t matter; reality has a way of being...real.

     This morning, Dave Freer touches on the subject from another perspective:

     My own sense of the mood in the writing world...is that changes are happening. In a way the things we here on MGC write about are change symptoms, not the causes – we write about the self-pub revolution, the disappearing agents, the way the big six became the big five, will probably the medium-sized four, and changes in things like distribution. But if things had stayed the same, continued down the same track, none of this would have happened. The zeitgeist was ‘progressive’ – against the center, the libertarians, the conservatives. Most publishers were left wing, or hard left as a result, and de facto, their authors largely were too or at least put on a good attempt to look that way.

     In my opinion the left wing zeitgeist hit apogee in about 2007 with the financial downturn. The media, the politicians, academia, the churches, and publishing continued on with yesterday’s trend – growing further from the ordinary people and how they felt. By 2016 things slipped off the plateau and began going the other way.

     What has happened (and all of the symptoms feed back into the causes) is that the readers – whose buying supports the bulk of the writing industry – buying… or not. This is probably best illustrated for us in the collapse of the traditional sf/fantasy sales (I’ve graphed this for you before) or as recently illustrated Marvel admitting their direction – for more ‘diversity’ and ‘social justice’ in comics had failed.

     ...[N]obody (or, to paraphrase the HH Guide, nobody important) reporting these figures wants to admit the direction is wrong, that there are problems. They liked, approved and supported the direction that sf and fantasy and indeed comics were taking. If there was a way to hide these declines, they would. The fact that this sort of data is creeping out means that financial problems, even bankruptcy, are looming, and there are no other choices. When some Jackass says ‘Oh they’re wrong, I luv Burkawoman, and Miz Marvel and Black Panther have both been nominated for Hugo Awards.’ What that says is that Jackass and the Hugos are out of touch with the buying public. There is a market for this, just as there is a market for the taste of the Hugo voters. It’s just 95 pound supply trying to fit in 5 pound demand bag.

     Their idea was they could change demand…

     It seems not.

     No, it definitely is not. Which is to the good – but not if fiction remains politicized, even if its vector should turn in a conservative / pro-freedom direction.


     Fiction is first and foremost an entertainment medium. Yes, it can be polemically potent – I made that observation during the final half hour of this radio broadcast — but if it’s used overbearingly, it will fail to entertain and will be rejected by the readers.

     This is the rock upon which the Left’s heavily colonized world of traditional publishing – Pub World, TradPub, insert your moniker for it here – has been smashed. A reader seeking a brief escape from his worldly cares will be greatly displeased to discover that he’s purchased a political tract when what he wanted was a bit of entertainment.

     Pub World’s error is correctable. That doesn’t mean it will be corrected.


     I’ve written more than once about the Left’s conviction of intellectual and moral superiority and how it’s bound to leftist political positions. As the circularity is obvious to anyone with three functioning brain cells, the ironies go very deep. But more important than those ironies is how the conviction prevents the typical leftist from learning anything.

     In A Clockwork Orange protagonist Malcom McDowell is supposedly conditioned out of his penchant for violence by a radical technique that renders him safe for release from prison. At this time there is no such thing as Burgess’s “Ludovico technique.” Perhaps there will be, some day, though I’m reluctant to bet either way. But imagine if there were. What would that mean for the ability of someone thus conditioned to acquire new knowledge or skills that were inimical to the conditioned-in behavior?

     The closest we can come to a contemporary “Ludovico technique” is relentless peer-group reinforcement and correction. Broadly speaking, it would consist of frequent immersion in a group dedicated to certain ideas, which would regularly test each of its members for orthodoxy. A member that’s found to have begun to veer toward deviance would be catechized by the rest of the group. The Chinese and North Korean Communists are known to have used such an approach. Perhaps other totalitarian societies have done so as well.

     That strikes me as a close approach to the reinforcement and correction the “social justice” crowd inflicts upon its members. If all one’s friends, acquaintances, and commercial associates are of particular convictions – in this case, “social justice” progressivism – then by deviating from the group orthodoxy he would risk losing all of that, possibly including his livelihood. And of course, “social justice warriors” are well known for their practice of encysting dissenters among them and either driving them out or browbeating them into conformity.

     If this be the case in Pub World, its current incarnation might not survive. It might need to collapse completely, not one stone remaining upon another, and to be revived by a completely new, non-political set of agents, editors, and publishers.


     Whatever may happen to Pub World, the English-language reader of fiction can look ahead with pleasure. The indie revolution is turning up gifted, previously unpublished storytellers at a heartening rate. That some of them could use editing help is undeniable; still, a talent will shine through all but the very worst of technical sins. More, their offerings are typically less expensive than those of Pub World, which is appropriate for the electronic medium in which most of their works are published.

     Yes, writers will always write from their own perspectives, including their political perspectives. But even when political developments and positions must be an element therein, a good storyteller will know that politics cannot be the heart of his story. Remember John Brunner’s Laws of Fiction:

  1. The raw material of fiction is people.
  2. The essence of story is change.

     It won’t matter a damn whether the book’s distribution medium is electrons, paper, or cuneiform tablets. If the story is good and readers notice, it will sell.

Monday, April 10, 2017

Ruined By “Diversity”

     There aren’t many social influences more pervasive – or more destructive – than the contemporary nattering about the importance of “diversity.” My Gentle Readers are probably saying to themselves that “You don’t need to write another word about it, Fran; we already know where you stand.” But the relentlessness of the caricatures of right-wing opinion demands that we who know better do something to counteract them.

     I hope you’ve got your seat belts buckled, because there are a few sharp curves ahead. You see, this won’t be a political diatribe. It’s about fiction.


     When I write fiction, I often force myself to write about situations that make me uncomfortable...in a few cases, very uncomfortable. I think of it as a tactic through which I can extend my horizons, make emotional contact with persons whose like I’d probably never meet. For example, consider margin-of-the-Marquee Character Rusty McGill in On Broken Wings. Rusty is a homosexual. He’s AWOL from the U.S. Army. He’s been recruited to a violent biker gang. Eventually he becomes the leader of a mini-gang of his own. Yet he’s not a villain, in the strict sense. Indeed, he’s something of a hero, particularly for the way he stands up to Marquee antagonist Tiny.

     Rusty wasn’t patterned after anyone I’ve known. He was purely a construct of my imagination. Yet he struck me as one of the most interesting characters I’ve created. He still does. And he was indispensable to the emotional landscape of the book.

     Does that mean that I would approve of Rusty’s decisions and actions were I to meet him in real life? What’s the superlative of “Shit, no!” -- ?

     Much more recently, I wrote a short story that redeploys characters from two other short pieces, albeit with a different slant. I was pleased with it, but not all those who read it have approved of it. One castigated me for my “appropriation” of the subject of transgenderism. She took particular exception to this snippet:

     Pat Costigan was striding away with their orders when Rowenna turned to Holly and said “Will you or shall I?”
     “Hm? Will you or shall I do what?”
     Rowenna elbowed her. “Tell them, of course!”
     “Oh.” Holly cringed. “You go ahead.”
     Rowenna grinned naughtily, turned to the others, and poked a thumb at Holly. “Our sort of bird.”
     Four eyes widened in synchrony. “Really?” Celia said.
     Holly nodded. “Not quite, but close. I was originally Horace. I went for the externally visible changes, but up to now I’ve kept my original, uh...”
     “Wedding tackle,” Juliette supplied.
     “Coupling gear,” Celia added.
     “Croquet set,” Rowenna said.
     Holly grinned. “Well, yes, that. I can’t say why.”

     And a little later:

     Celia shook her head. “Two Brit futas–one natural, one Miss Clairol, though only her hairdresser knows for sure–had to cross the ocean and settle in the armpit of New York for their ‘meet cute.’ Don’t use this as the starting point for a novel, Holly. It’s way too implausible.”

     That caused me to remember when long, long ago, in a place far away...all right, so it was the suburbs of Dallas...a friend called to tell me that two lesbian friends of hers had condemned On Broken Wings for daring to make a bisexual woman prominent in its Supporting Cast.

     Apparently the most “diverse” among us don’t care to have disapproved types such as myself writing about them – sympathetically or otherwise.


     This morning, Stephanie the Right Geek soliloquizes about “diversity” in fiction. The points I consider most significant are right up front:

     We are not hostile to "diversity." If you actually take the time to read the authors we anti-establishment types enjoy, you will find that "straight white men in rocket ships" is not really an accurate description of their work. These books abound with characters of color, strong female characters, queer characters, etc.

     We are hostile to a particular ideology that wears the innocuous ideal of "diversity" as a skin suit while preaching something else entirely. Said ideology refuses to acknowledge that we are individuals, preferring instead to carve us up into superficial collectives that share disadvantage -- or that share "privilege." Said ideology then attempts, in top-down fashion, to redistribute prestige to those collectives who, its adherents feel, have been especially victimized by "the system" and to shame and suppress those collectives who, in these adherents' estimation, are to blame for the suffering of the former.

     All impeccably correct. Ever since becoming friendly with a couple of transwomen, I’ve made a point of soliciting fiction recommendations from them...and what do you know! We find the same sorts of stories appealing, regardless of the sexes, races, orientations, politics, or what-have-you of the characters.

     Yes, some of the stuff those transwomen have commended to my attention has featured transgendered characters...and in a couple of egregious cases, both the commender and I have disapproved of particular bits of stories we’ve generally enjoyed. Here’s an example: the involuntarily transgendered narrator is coping with the enmity of a few regular girls:

     Grasping me by the shoulders, Julia looked me squarely in the eye with a serious and commanding expression. “You can do this, and more importantly you want to do this. Don’t let a bunch of right-wing, religious morons tell you what you can or can’t do or what you do or don’t want. This is your life and they don’t have any right to tell you how to live it.”

     [From Prom Changed Everything]

     Mind you, the hostility toward the narrator was not coupled to religious belief or political convictions. It arose from the knowledge that narrator Erika, who was about to audition for her high school’s cheerleading squad, is a transgirl. Perhaps the author thought that would be “obvious.” Yet he very nearly ruined an otherwise nicely done piece of fiction with that snippet, and I’m minded to tell him so.

     Bigotry, the sin about which the Left prattles so relentlessly, is mainly a characteristic of atheists and persons on the political Left. Yet they continue to portray it as a fault of the religious and the political Right – and of course, one for which they’re blameless.


     Among phenomena I would dislike more strongly than the evil of political coercion is one that has not yet occurred: what C. S. Lewis forecast in The Abolition of Man:

     It is, of course, a commonplace to complain that men have hitherto used badly, and against their fellows, the powers that science has given them, But that is not the point I am trying to make. I am not speaking of particular corruptions and abuses which an increase of moral virtue would cure: I am considering what the thing called ‘Man's power over Nature’ must always and essentially be. No doubt, the picture could be modified by public ownership of raw materials and factories and public control of scientific research. But unless we have a world state this will still mean the power of one nation over others. And even within the world state or the nation it will mean (in principle) the power of majorities over minorities, and (in the concrete) of a government over the people. And all long-term exercises of power, especially in breeding, must mean the power of earlier generations over later ones.

     Once genetic engineering technology is sufficiently advanced, whichever generation achieves it – Let’s call it Generation N – will have absolute and irresistible power over Generation N+1 and all subsequent generations. I wrote about this fairly recently, and ever since it’s assumed a growing fraction of my thoughts. That that power could, and probably would, be used for good purposes as well as for bad ones is undeniable. But consider the prospects for the elimination of diversity, especially when coupled to the concurrently growing technologies of conditioning and public-sentiment control.

     The Left is fully on board with this. It doesn’t trouble them in the slightest. After all, it means that homosexuals would be able to have guaranteed-homosexual children. The deaf would be able to have guaranteed-deaf children. Women who hate and fear men would be able to have guaranteed female children...and quite possibly, those children would hate and fear men straight the womb. And of course, we shouldn’t overlook the possibility of genetically engineered slaves, especially slaves with purpose-built bodies good for one and only one thing.

     Imagine if not merely your body but your mind as well were a slave to your genes – i.e., that you were unable, for genetic reasons, to entertain certain ideas. What do you think the Left would do with such a power?

     Yes, you may well shudder.


     I could go on about this. At times I do. I dislike persons who judge, when the Redeemer Himself has told us not to do so:

     Judge not, that ye be not judged. For with what judgment ye judge, ye shall be judged: and with what measure ye mete, it shall be measured to you again. And why beholdest thou the mote that is in thy brother's eye, but considerest not the beam that is in thine own eye? Or how wilt thou say to thy brother, Let me pull out the mote out of thine eye; and, behold, a beam is in thine own eye? [Matthew 7:1-4]

     I might disapprove; I might deplore. Indeed, I often do – but I strive to refrain from condemning. Granted, I don’t always succeed, but ideals can be like that. It pains me greatly to see otherwise worthy fiction veer off into the weeds for political reasons. It’s an irony beyond my powers of description that those who most frequently commit that sin award themselves the palm of virtue for “diversity” when in point of fact, they parade their intolerance -- their undisguised bigotry -- in the very words for which they preen themselves.

     Yes, Innocents is steadily taking shape, and yes, it will address at least two of the subjects mentioned above. Watch for it.

Pearls of expression.

Now she [Hillary] is stating that she lost the election because she is a woman. Wrong! She lost because she was the wrong woman.
Comment by Cheater on "Within Hours of 'Sarin Gas Strike' West Already Knew Who Is to Blame. How Come? First condemn, demonize and point the finger at -- then call for an investigation." By Rob Slane, Russia Insider, 4/6/17.

So It Would Seem Dept.

Trump also prefers getting his information from cable channels news rather than from the daily briefing from the intelligence community.
"Analysis Trump's Real Target in Syria Strike Wasn't Assad." By Anshel Pfeffer, Haaretz, 4/10/17.

Sunday, April 9, 2017

The Gloom-And-Doom Mindset

     There’s been a lot of wailing and hand-wringing over President Trump’s missile strike against the Syrian airbase from which the recent Sarin gas attack was allegedly launched. There’ve also been some outright condemnations of his strike as a betrayal of his campaign pledges. Such lamentations are overwrought and misguided, as I hoped my DextroSpheric colleagues would have figured out for themselves. However, a significant number thereof haven’t figured it out.

     Sigh. And I had so hoped to take Palm Sunday off!


     War gases are considered weapons of mass destruction: i.e., weapons whose effects are large-scale and indiscriminate. American policy concerning such weapons is and has long been that their acquisition by lesser powers shall be strongly discouraged; their use shall not be permitted. Such a policy implies that uses of WMDs will be punished proportionately to the occurrence. The cruise-missile reprisal against the nominal source of the Sarin was perfectly consistent with that policy. I’d hoped that this essay would have illuminated the reasons such a policy is:

  • Prudent;
  • Forward-looking;
  • Yet does not commit the U.S. to war.

     Now, there are those who disagree with the policy. They’re entitled to do so, though their arguments strike me as unsound. But that it is the policy of the United States and has been so for decades cannot be denied. Barack Hussein Obama even conceded that with his famous “red line” remarks, though he lacked the moral fiber to follow through on them.

     President Trump acted on that policy according to the best information available to him. Those who disagree with the intelligence assessments on which he based his decision, like those who disagree with the policy itself, are entitled to their opinions. But such decisions have never been made (and never will be made) on the basis of a plebiscite. Like it or not, the president must trust that the information he’s offered by his military and intelligence advisors is reliable. Whether it is reliable is a separate question, which no one in my position should try to answer.


     The second noteworthy aspect of these events is that Trump acted promptly. He didn’t dither or vacillate. He did what he thought best and most consistent with U.S. policy. The contrast this makes with the Obama Administration is striking indeed.

     Just as it is for business, uncertainty is the great enemy of international peace. If a great power is known to be highly variable in its decisions and actions, to the point of complete unpredictability, the rest of world will be destabilized to some extent. Conditions in pre-World War I Europe provide a good comparison: Kaiser Wilhelm II, who commanded the strongest single military in the Old World, was notably wild and erratic. Had he been less so, the chances of a continent-absorbing war would have been lessened as well.

     The other powers of the First and Second Worlds are now aware that Trump will act decisively, at least when he believes he has the necessary facts in hand. America’s allies can consider themselves reassured of his commitment to longstanding American policy. America’s adversaries have been put on notice that he won’t refrain from a bold move just because some other power – e.g., the press – will disapprove.


     The third point relevant to the cruise-missile strike is that by taking that action specifically, President Trump averted all risk to American personnel. No American blood would be shed in the action. As American casualties are the greatest public-relations demerit that accrues to an administration that goes to war, Trump’s choice of methods was ideal. Neither did it commit us to further military action in the Middle Eastern theater.

     Despite that, the world is now on notice that the Trump Administration means to enforce our policy of punishing the use of weapons of mass destruction. Note that “the world” includes North Korea and Iran, both states that have pursued the acquisition of nuclear weapons and delivery systems for them. Note also that no other power has done more than deplore the gas attack; only America has acted.

     Many Americans dislike the U.S.’s assumption of “world policeman” status. I dislike it myself. But as with piracy on the high seas, the use of weapons of mass destruction must be regarded as inimical to all Mankind. That others refuse to act does not release us from the obligation, especially as it was the U.S. that promulgated the dictum that WMDs shall not be used except in direst need.


     Given all the above, why are so many – especially in the Right – morose about President Trump’s action? It would seem to me to have been in the best interests of the entire world, while not at all compromising to the interests of the United States.

     I have no answer. Of course, there are some who are never satisfied with the decisions of any administration. There are others who specifically dislike Trump and wish he’d go away. And there are some among his supporters who suspect that a pro-war cabal among Trump’s advisors is gaining influence over him that will eventually result in the sort of endless, pointless Middle Eastern war that has wearied the entire nation.

     Perhaps we should trust this president. He’s been true to his word so far, even considering the recent “failure” of the GOP to pass the American Health Care Act. He’s certainly proved more trustworthy than his predecessor...who, by the way, is deeply involved in operations designed to rally opposition to the Trump / GOP agenda despite all his protestations of support for his successor.

     We elected Donald Trump to the presidency. For my part, I intend to support him unless and until it becomes impossible. It’s a course I commend to all my Gentle Readers.

Saturday, April 8, 2017

The Rules

     [I’m terribly weary this morning. I’m looking forward dourly at the day, which promises to be filled with feces of several sorts. I don’t much feel like ranting about any of the topics currently in the news. Accordingly, I went to the archives for something to regurgitate, and found the following piece, which first appeared at the old Palace of Reason on August 8, 2004. If you remember the 2004 presidential campaign at all, perhaps you’ll see some relevance to that of 2016. -- FWP]


At the heart of a brilliant, angry statement about the vilification campaign against the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, John Moore asks us "Who wrote the rules?"

The Swifties annoyed the press because they bypassed them. They ran an ad that the press could not ignore, and they aren't part of a campaign. Even worse, the ad is extremely powerful, and it addresses the character of a candidate. They didn't play by the rules, and as a result those to whom politics is a big game, with citizens not allowed, condemned their efforts.

Apparently only "issues" are valid subjects. The idea that a person of bad character is unlikely to carry out his issues promises is ignored. The idea that a person of bad character shouldn't be president never occurs to our media betters. Thus the subject of character is apparently banned from our political discourse.

That's certainly the way the political Establishment, the Old Media and the cultural "glitterati" would have it. Those powers have held hegemony over America's political choices for half a century. They reserve to themselves the privilege of forming our attitudes and sculpting our perceptions of the candidates they allow us.

"Allow us"? Did I actually write that? Why, yes. Think about the process by which the major parties -- and let's be candid here, Palace readers; the minor parties don't really count for much on Election Day, except in the most unusual of cases -- select the men who will run on their tickets. Just how much influence do ordinary Americans have over the results of that process?

Do you suppose that ordinary Americans would have selected:

  • Adlai Stevenson as the Democratic candidate in 1952 and 1956?
  • Lyndon Johnson as the Democratic candidate in 1964?
  • Hubert Humphrey as the Democratic candidate in 1968?
  • George McGovern as the Democratic candidate in 1972?
  • Walter Mondale as the Democratic candidate in 1984?
  • George H. W. Bush as the Republican candidate in 1988?
  • Michael Dukakis as the Democratic candidate in 1988?
  • Bill Clinton as the Democratic candidate in 1992?
  • Bob Dole as the Republican candidate in 1996?
  • Al Gore as the Democratic candidate in 2000?

...or, God help us all, John Kerry as the Democratic candidate this year?

Each of the above names belongs to a man with fatal character flaws: megalomania, or venality, or sexual obsession, or mendacity, or a deficit of conviction, or an excessive desire to be liked, or all those and more. Yet they were presented to us, the voters, as the best their parties could offer.

George W. Bush is a marvelous exception to the pattern of the half-century behind us. Whether you agree with his policy preferences or not, you can be confident that he'll speak his mind honestly, and that he'll do his best to act on his true convictions. Even he, now and then, will yield to political considerations, as for example when he decided to de-emphasize the privatization of Social Security two years ago. But he has not yet had to retract a statement, explain a divergence between his stated convictions and his official deeds, or answer to even a minor substantiated charge of wrongdoing.

Believe it or not, there are forces within the Republican Party that seek to destroy this man. The public likes him personally and trusts him as an executive, a war leader, and a chief of state. Despite what the Old Media have tried to tell you, the overwhelming majority of Americans think he's splendid. We were thrilled when he decided not to be stopped by Franco-German-Russian opposition to Operation Iraqi Freedom. We were energized when he asserted that the United States would do "whatever it takes" to defend the freedom and independence of Taiwan. We were inexpressibly proud of him when he told the scrofulous "leaders" of the contemptible and retrogressive NAACP that, despite the departure from "tradition," he would not grovel before them or vainly attempt to curry their favor.

All of this is against The Rules. If you've never seen a copy, I have one here:

The Rules
a.k.a.
The Commandments Of Establishmentarian Politics:

  1. I am the Establishmentarian Political System, thy God; thou shalt have no other gods before Me.
  2. Thou shalt not speak of alternatives to the System.
  3. Remember thou the Press and keep it holy.
  4. Honor thy political opposite numbers and predecessors, and speak no ill of them.
  5. Thou shalt not work against the interests of the System.
  6. Thou shalt not adulterate thy allegiance to thy chosen party.
  7. Thou shalt not co-opt thy party's banners for unapproved uses.
  8. Thou shalt not disagree with thy party's platform in public.
  9. Thou shalt not covet thy opponent's pet issues.
  10. Thou shalt not covet thy opponent's hair.

The point is to maintain a particular mindset among ordinary Americans:

  • The System is immutable, being ruled and fueled by powers far above us in puissance, and there's no preferable alternative anyway.
  • Attempts to change the System will, rather than improving matters, bring about the worst of the available evils.
  • The System will infallibly punish those who dare to defy it.

When a genuinely good man such as President Bush reaches high office, the mindset is disturbed. Hey! Lookee here! Someone I'd be willing to have as a neighbor, or even a brother-in-law, is in the Oval Office! Maybe we can do that again -- and to other offices as well!

Nothing shakes the crowned heads of America's kingmakers like a sense of connection between a sitting president and the general public: "Why, he might cease to cater to us and start heeding the cries of the great unwashed! We could lose our seats on the gravy train! This must be stopped at once!"

This occurs despite the essential fidelity of the president to his party's platform, and the existence of issues on which he differs with majority opinion. It's not political technocracy or deep policy analysis. It's about character.

And so we see Republicans, right along with their opponents, deliberately undermine the re-election prospects of a sitting Republican president. We see toads like John McCain and Chuck Hagel advance policy proposals that chill conservatives' blood. We see defections like Jim Jeffords' in 2001. We see the Old Media assail Dubya for having "breached the wall between church and state" because he cited Christ as his favorite philosopher. We see Republicans of stature such as the Dishonorable Senator McCain denounce private ads like those of the Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, precisely because they remind us that character trumps all. For that is the truth the Establishment cannot allow us to noise about. That is the truth the Establishment must squelch.

But character does trump all. You know it and I know it. The rulers of foreign nations know it, too, which is why they're lining up behind convictionless, principle-free John Kerry, whom they have a much better chance to manipulate.

Character is the one thing no political strategist can conjure out of thin air. The idea is internally contradictory: "Hey, let's make our guy sincere. Let's give him trustworthiness." Sincerity cannot be faked. Fidelity to promises is 100% detectable. Humility before the dictates of reality is either there, or it isn't.

The election is important; forgive me if I've ever suggested otherwise. But more important over the long term is that decent, ordinary Americans dethrone the kingmakers of both parties. We must once again have the chance to choose among candidates all of whom can be trusted to say what they mean and act on it when the opportunity or need arises.

The Rules of the political system must be cast down and replaced by the rules of candor and honorable conduct, as ordinary Americans have understood them for centuries. They're rules of which Washington, Jefferson, and Madison would not have needed to be reminded.

Pearls of expression.

I re-read the article several times and I cannot find one fact/source that would indicate whether it was Assad--or the Easter Bunny--who ordered the nerve gas deployment.
Comment by gynojunkie on "Why Did Assad Use Nerve Gas?" By Stephen Bryen and Shoshana Bryen, American Thinker, 4/6/17.

America knows best.

Lost in oblivion [i.e., totally ignored], also predictably, was Russia's deputy UN ambassador Vladimir Safronkov shattering to bits the West's "obsession with regime change” in Syria, which is “what hinders this Security Council."[1]
For a few minutes there it looked like the U.S. was abandoning its absurd objective of paving the way for Assad's replacement by some jihadi animal faction. Now it looks like we're back to the Obama Doctrine – Assad, must go!

The "brutal dictator" thing that's brought up in connection with Bashar al-Assad is juvenile. The presidents of South Africa and Zimbabwe are far more deserving of removal, the South African guy having a peculiar blind spot for the murder and dispossession of white farmers in his country.

In addition to which, the U.S. – with its fellow British, German, French, Norwegian, Saudi, and Qatari "coalition" members – aids and abets jihadi scum, draws in more jihadi scum from all points of the compass (turning the Syrian war into anything but a civil war that John Bolton thinks it is) and turns Syria into a free fire zone. Then, when Assad and his followers fight back in this war against them initiated by the U.S. and other civilized nation it seems, every last civilian casualty is laid at Assad's doorstep.

As though no civilians died in Fallujah when the U.S. waged war there or any other place where we've gone to war. Yes, Assad's the one. Assad the killer.

Get rid of him and our work is done.

Notes
[1] "Syria: The Toxic Meltdown." By Pepe Escobar, Sputnik, 4/6/17.

Friday, April 7, 2017

War Versus Weapons

     News of President Donald Trump’s decision to strike Syria, ostensibly as a punishment for the Assad regime’s use of chemical weapons against a largely civilian target, has many of his supporters in a quandary. Well that it should be so, for during the presidential campaign Trump spoke against American involvement in Syria’s agonies. He was certainly clear that he disfavored American military involvement in that bloody, never-ending business.

     But no one can foresee all events, and it’s events, not prognostications, that must drive our decision-making. Trump’s decision to launch a cruise-missile strike against Syria’s putative chemical-weapons sites must be judged on the basis of events and what we can be reasonably sure we know about them.

     However, that’s not really my principal topic for the morning’s screed.


     While warfare requires the use of weaponry, not every use of weaponry takes place during a war. This should be – swallow hard, Fran – obvious. Yet like many other obvious facts, it tends to be overlooked...sometimes deliberately.

     In his book Thinking About The Unthinkable In The 1980s, the late Herman Kahn tells of the time he proposed a strategic scenario to a lecture class that initially baffled his students. It starts with a limited, deliberate, and admitted nuclear strike by the Soviets against the United States. Specifically, the Soviets launch a city-buster warhead that destroys New York City. The president contacts the Soviet premier and gets the following, admittedly unlikely response:

     It’s one of ours. We did it deliberately. A large number of people have been pushing us around recently: the Chinese question our preeminence in the Socialist camp; you wage an ideological crusade against us; and our East European allies are getting rebellious again. Generally speaking, we don’t feel the Soviet Union commands enough respect and we decided to correct the situation.
     After this act of dropping a nuclear bomb on New York City, everybody will respect us, not in the sense of love ad confidence, but in the sense of fear and terror. When we speak, people will listen; when we make requests, people will comply, and we think that is a good situation. Therefore we dropped the bomb on New York City. It solves a lot of short-run problems. It may raise new ones, but that’s life. In any case, as far as we are concerned, the matter is closed.

     Postulate that the above events were to take place. (Use your “what if” circuit. You know, the one you engage when you read fantasy or science fiction. You do read F&SF, don’t you?) Then answer the following questions for yourself:

  1. Would the above put the U.S. at war with the S.U.?
  2. If so:
    • What sort of war would it be?
    • What would be the U.S.’s strategic goal for the war?
    • Should the U.S. and S.U. survive the war, what would their postwar relationship be like?
  3. If not:
    • Would the U.S. take violent action in response?
    • What sort of violent action would that be?
    • What would be the point of that action?

     Apologies to those Gentle Readers who regard questions of such gravity as “not for the breakfast table.” (I think about them at all three meals each and every day, so while my apology is sincere, my sympathy is limited.)

     My contention is that the U.S. and S.U. would not automatically be at war, even given the fanciful events described above. Moreover, the U.S. would take action – violent action. It would be nuclear. It would destroy a Soviet city, probably Moscow. And it would be accompanied by a statement much like the following:

     While we sympathize with your weariness from the pressures you enumerated, we could not allow your action to go unanswered. The United States does not permit such deeds to go unpunished. Therefore we have destroyed Moscow. That solves our most pressing short-run problems: keeping your aggressive tendencies in check and reminding the world that we will enforce a strict limit to strategic violence. Our forces will remain at high alert while your political turmoil resolves itself. We will watch developments with interest.

     But the U.S. and S.U. would not be at war. They might go to war, should subsequent events surprise the strategists and planners on both sides, but they would not yet be at war. Even the use of the most fearsome weapons of war does not automatically bring a war about.


     This morning, Peter “Datechguy” Ingemi poses the fundamental questions about the wisdom of going to war, with specific reference to Syria:

    
  1. Are we willing to go to war and pay the price in blood and treasure to topple Assad by risking American lives in Syria?
  2. Are we willing to fight that war until it’s actually won, rather than fight a limited war for the sake of saving face?
  3. Are we willing, once Assad is toppled, to stay in Syria for 30 to 50 years to make sure Syria doesn’t become Iraq or Libya and leave it for Islamists to take over?
  4. Are we willing to take responsibility for not only the military but the civilian casualties that will inevitably take place in Syria in such a war?
  5. Are we willing to risk military confrontation(s) with Russia and Iran in order to do this?

     If the president is as intelligent as I believe him to be, and if his counselors are more sobersided than bloodthirsty, they’re entertaining those questions as we speak. However, we are not yet at war, and might not be, despite our use of weapons of war to strike the Assad regime’s chemical-weapons sites.

     If the cruise-missile strikes were well conceived and targeted, they will serve as the necessary reminder the Assad regime needs: specifically, that the U.S. regards the use of chemical or biological weapons as absolutely unacceptable and will punish any such use proportionately to the occurrence. The Obama Administration refused to issue such a violent reminder, which would obviously embolden an entity that sees the use of war gases as advantageous to it. If the masters of Syria are not completely insane (cf. North Korea), the U.S. strike will cause them to “pull in their horns.” If not...well, as Stephen Graham Sumner said to a misbehaving Russian satrap, we have lots of cruise missiles.


     Getting the facts right is obviously of paramount importance. The critical fact to be ascertained in the Syrian matter is whether the Assad regime really did use chemical weapons. Our military minds have said they’re convinced that this is the case. Yes, they could be wrong. Yes, there are those entertaining the possibility that the attack was a “false flag” by a rebel group. But in a sane republic – hopefully, that describes our Republic – military decisions are not made by referendum but on the basis of senior commanders’ best judgment.

     What will be will be. We shall see.

Assad as cretin hypothesis.

Nobody thought to ask the obvious question [about the chemical attack on Khan Sheikhoun]: “Why would [Syrian president] Assad do such a thing?” Syria was en route to a new round of peace talks. More importantly, she was about to enter negotiations in which the usual American, British and French demands that “Assad must go!” were to be, for the first time since the Syrian Civil War broke out in earnest, quietly put to one side. Having won the war on the ground, the Assad regime was on the brink of clearing away its enemies’ unrealistic preconditions. Finally, a serious conversation about Syria’s future could begin.

And yet, we are being invited to believe that, with all this at stake, President Assad ordered the use of Sarin gas on his own citizens. Somehow, instigating a reprehensible war crime against women and children was going to strengthen his moral authority. Somehow, by revolting the entire world, he would improve his chances of being accepted as Syria’s legitimate ruler. Somehow, by embarrassing the Russian Federation, his country’s most valuable military ally, he would enhance Syria’s national security. The whole notion is absurd.[1]

It is.

Notes
[1] "Gas Attack In Khan Sheikhoun! But why would Bashar al-Assad blow himself up?" By Chris Trotter, The Daily Blog, 4/5/17.

Thursday, April 6, 2017

An Announcement

     I’ve just deleted my Gab.ai account. I couldn’t take the rampant anti-Semitism any longer. It seems to be pervasive. No matter how diligently I filtered out users who expressed rabid anti-Semitic sentiments, I couldn’t stay ahead of the lava flow.

     I’m sick of it. I’m an Irish Catholic – yes, despite my surname – and the Irish know something about persecution. Time was, Northern employers would routinely end their help-wanted ads with “No Irish need apply.” But no other people on Earth have known the intensity nor the relentlessness of persecution the Jewish people have suffered.

     The Hell of it is that Gab.ai is currently the only viable alternative to Twitter for the sort of single-shot micro-blogging it supports. Its developers and managers appear to be both competent and decent. I can’t blame them for not imposing a censorship regime specifically to occlude anti-Semitic outbursts, when their hatred of censorship is what animated their development of Gab in the first place. So I decided that I simply don’t belong there.

     Now, this might seem a bit off-axis, given that I’m an admitted racist, sexist, homophobe, Islamophobe, and white nationalist. Perhaps you’re laughing at me as you read this; you have every right. But I can’t and won’t tolerate the abuse of the Jews. They need defenders more than any other identifiable category of Mankind; just look at what the Muslim Middle East has been doing to them. Yet they ask nothing but to be left alone.

     Don’t slather me with your blather about Jewish financiers. Would you like to know why Jews are over-represented in the finance industry? It’s because for most of Western history, finance was one of the few trades they were permitted to practice. Pre-Enlightenment Europe would tolerate Jews as financiers, jewelers, and in some places butchers. Post-Enlightenment Europe tried to kill them all...and contemporary Europe is importing Muslims to whom to delegate the chore.

     Don’t rave to me about the government of Israel. It’s a government. It’s not a people. Governments are all objectionable to some degree. It certainly doesn’t speak for the entirety of the Jewish people worldwide. And despite my dislike of governments generally, the government of Israel is far less objectionable than most of those extant today.

     While not a philo-Semite in the strict sense, in any clash between the Jewish people and their detractors, I will stand with the Jewish people. No one who wants my good opinion will do otherwise where I can hear or read it. Comments submitted to Liberty’s Torch that denigrate “the Jews” or formulate conspiracy theories about them will be summarily rejected. Nor will I entertain any “arguments” to that effect.

     For those of you looking to put this down to some sort of prejudicial personal connection: yes, my wife is Jewish; I didn’t care when we met and I don’t care today. My first wife was also Jewish. She was also one of the most brilliant women it’s been my privilege to know. Do you think a Certified Galactic Intellect would willingly keep company with a dullard, much less sleep with one?

     Take your anti-Semitic garbage elsewhere. I won’t have it here.

Bad Buys

     The reactions to this piece, coupled with my experiences of the past few days, which I spent in the Blue Ridge Mountains of deepest, darkest Virginia, have me thinking along the lines of this piece once again – but not in a purely romantic or inter-gender relations way.

     A few days separated from one’s usual surroundings, most emphatically including all his “stuff,” can result in a massive realignment of his perspectives. Mind you, I like “stuff.” I certainly own a lot of it, as the regular financial extractions I undergo for its repair surely remind me. However, it takes up space, both physical and mental. I have to stay on top of its maintenance. I also have to remember how to use it. (Sadly, I’ve lost the product manual for my Qwert Iggle and can’t find a copy on the Web. No more emu juice with my Cheerios®. Sigh.) And in the strict sense of “required for survival,” I don’t need most of it.

     My host these past few days, whom I’ll call Joe, has a lot less “stuff” than I, and he gets by much better than I do. Indeed, Joe designed and built his own home in the mountains – no small feat, especially as there was no access road at the time and Joe’s plot is so sharply sloped that I had difficulty ascending it on foot. He also wired, plumbed, fenced, and gated it. I have no doubt that despite any and all difficulties he could and would do so again, from scratch and Home Depot, were circumstances to demand it.

     Joe’s place is not some sort of primitive hunter’s lodge, either. It’s a comfortably furnished home comparable in its amenities to a typical middle-class suburban home you would find in less sharply sloped America. His main building is a bit smaller than most, but that’s nicely offset by his three satellite buildings – his workshop, his wife’s workshop, and his guest cottage – which Joe also designed and built himself.

     The typical example of the contemporary cults of “preppers” and “survivalists” would fall to their knees in awe at Joe’s achievement. And well they should. It’s a testament to what a determined man capable of mastering the skills normally left to “specialists” can do with the application of sufficient physical and mental effort. It’s an absurdity of Brobdinganagian dimensions that Joe thinks I’d do just fine on his mountain – I, who recently had to call a master plumber for instruction on how to replace the flush lever on a toilet.


     I don’t imagine that most of Joe’s contemporaries could hope to replicate Joe’s achievement. He put a lot of time, money, and effort into it, to say nothing of the array of skills he had to acquire. (Plus the need to go armed at all times; the Blue Ridge Mountains weren’t free of predators back then. Nor are they today.) But setting that undertaking alongside my habitual reliance on “specialists” is a humbling experience.

     I’ve accepted the division-of-labor economy. Indeed, without it I’d be a starving wretch; the only things I can do that are worth anyone’s valuta are software and fiction. (What, you think the crap I post here is worth anything? Millions of people worldwide are doing the very same thing as we speak. Some of them do it better than I. Virtually none of us get paid.) But the simplicity available to Joe is something I envy greatly. He needs absolutely no one for anything. All his associations are by choice; none arise from necessity. What would you give to be able to say the same?

     Simplicity is, quite ironically, one of the most complex conditions a contemporary American can contemplate. Try to imagine how you would contrive to live well, according to your personal standards, with no need for the support of specialists in dozens of fields.


     Now, as to the title of this essay. A “bad buy,” by most people’s understanding, is an expenditure whose consequences are “not worth it.” In some sense, no element in the fantastic array of devices that surround me and support my existence is a “bad buy.” Indeed, I rely on them for many daily “necessities.” But in aggregate, coupled to my own specialization, they’ve rendered me dependent on innumerable others to whom I must regularly pay obeisance in Federal Reserve Notes. Most of those others have nothing else in common with me. I wouldn’t think of inviting them to a party; if I did, they’d be shocked right out of their skivvies.

     On those occasions when I desire merely to sit and think, which are more frequent than ever, those dependencies can be irritating in the extreme. For example, I need to invoke the services of three specialists today, owing to conditions that arose while I was in Virginia. I can’t spend the day merely contemplating how to proceed with my current novel-in-progress. Like it or not, I must open my home to others – don’t get me wrong; I greatly appreciate their attention and pay for it willingly – and await their verdicts about various matters pertaining to plumbing, basement drainage, and how to repair certain of my mechanical assistants.

     And then there’s this:

     “That’s the whole bill of lading?” Adam Grenier said.
     Martin nodded. “As near as we can figure it. You said twelve thousand pounds was the limit, right?”
     Grenier nodded. “For the Guppy. If you think you’ll need more lift—”
     “We won’t,” Althea said. “That list ciphers out to about ten thousand, eight hundred.” She glanced up at the craft they were chartering. “She seems awfully small for that kind of load, Adam.”
     “You might be surprised,” Grenier said. “That’s her safe rating with all possible hazards taken into account, including things like short-field takeoffs and landings. Her lift rating is about fourteen five, and her structural rating is higher still. But ten eight is severe enough, thanks. With all the miles she’s got on her, I don’t like to tax her.” He glanced back and forth between them. “You’re both coming along?”
     “Of course,” Althea said. “That pile of crap isn’t going to do much on its own.”
     “That adds about three-fifty to the load, so we’re just over eleven thousand. Look,” Grenier said, “it’s better to be safe than sorry. Planes have fallen out of the sky for being overloaded. None of mine, but all the same, if you can avoid expanding this list any further, I’d strongly advise it.” He awarded her a wholly artificial smile.
     Something’s going on here, Grandpere.
     —Almost certainly, Al. His father was a better, more pleasant man, and
he was never this accommodating.
     So how do I find out what?
     —I have no idea.
     Damn. I suppose I’ll have to ride it to the end, won’t I?
     —What if you retreat to your earlier plan?
     Martin said we wouldn’t. In front of all our neighbors, at that. I can’t make a liar out of him.
     —I know.

     “When do you think you could fit us in?” she said.
     Grenier waved unconcern. “You get your stuff together, get it over here, and I’ll take care of the rest. There’s enough slack in the scheduling to squeeze in one flight just about any time from now through November. Oh, and don’t worry about the loading. My crew will see to all of that. They understand the issues quite well.”
     Martin’s eyes narrowed. “What makes you think we wouldn’t?”
     A quick flicker of the eyelids was all the reaction Adam Grenier produced. It was enough.
     “Well, maybe you do,” he said. “But do you want the responsibility for a possible midpoint fuel shortfall because of unbalanced aerodynamics? For a plane that has to turn around before it’s delivered its cargo? If you load, it’s on your shoulders. If my guys do it...?” He shrugged.
     We’re being set up for a fall.
     She glanced at her husband. He shook his head microscopically.
     “Okay,” she said. “We’ll be back in touch when we’ve assembled all this junk and have arranged to truck it over.” She stuck out a hand. “Thanks for being so helpful, Adam.”
     His plastic smile was still fixed in place. “Not at all.”
* * *
     As they exited the tree-lined corridor from the commercial strip and turned onto the pathway to Morelon House, Althea halted her husband and turned to face him. “I can’t figure out what he’s planning, can you?”
     Martin gazed at her ruefully. “I’ve been thinking about that and nothing else, love. But I’m dead certain it’s nothing we’d enjoy.”
     “So what now?”
     He grimaced. “I don’t know. Postpone the trip, for sure. How to get our initial load up to Thule? Frankly, I don’t think we have much choice. Our clan had heavy-lift capacity at one point, didn’t it?”
     She nodded. “Yeah, but we sold the plane when Adam’s dad set up shop here. Charisse said she was happy to get rid of it. It made more sense to hire it out, so we wouldn’t have to maintain a plane and train pilots.”
     She glanced at the entrance to Morelon House. The old mansion looked as sturdy as ever. It presented an appearance of immutable strength to all who saw it. Yet it had begun to seem to her that the clan had undermined that strength in several ways, with several decisions. None of them had been fatal; indeed, when each was made, it had appeared to be the obvious choice. Yet in combination, they had rendered Clan Morelon massively dependent upon the wills and skills of a multitude of outsiders...persons who might not be as available or dependable as one would hope.
     —That’s the downside of the division of labor, Al.
     Yeah. I can see that, Grandpere. But how could we have avoided it?
     —By resisting all the temptations to specialize and to make use of specialists. By purchasing absolute self-sufficiency at the price of economic advantage. Which, incidentally, no clan or society known to history has ever managed to do.
     The incentives are too strong, aren’t they?
     —Judge for yourself, dear. Put yourself in Charisse’s place at the point when Jack Grenier moved into the area and started offering his services around. Would you have done as she did, knowing only what she did at the time?
     Probably. If there’s a lesson in this—
     —If there is, Al, no one has ever drawn it. The division of labor is the one and only path toward general prosperity. It can go to an incredible depth. A
frightening depth. And it is utterly reliant upon the character and good will of the specialists. Let one critical specialty be corrupted by political forces, or conceive of a grudge against some other group, or even decide that it can rape its customers without fear of reprisal, and the destruction spreads faster than anyone can act to check it.

     [From Freedom’s Scion]

     No human society has ever successfully resisted the division of labor...and no human society ever will. That’s part and parcel of the political dynamic that we suffer.

     Yet I don’t adjudge it all as a bad buy...except for those times, which have been coming more frequently of late, when I yearn for the simplicity of a cabin on the side of a mountain, surrounded by nothing but trees and wildlife. Give me a stick, a stretch of sand, and time to think about geometry just as Pythagoras did long, long ago. Well, that plus a centerfire rifle chambered in .30-06 and a thousand rounds for it. Pythagoras might have appreciated those conveniences, too.

Assad lynch mob.

I have returned from a trip to take care of some family business. Fran's careful work to reestablish the credibility of his blog is now for naught. He's back!!!!

The story of the hour is the rush to judgment on who was responsible for the deaths in a Syrian town said to be due to some kind of gas. The one responsible is none other than Assad, Mad Dog Ophthalmologist. The amount of intellectual dishonesty one has to wade through in listening to very eminent men convinced of this fact is stunning.

On grounds of cui bono alone a reasonable person would have to conclude the opposite, namely, that Assad gains nothing by reckless chemical weapon use against civilians, or even military ones. The very indiscriminate nature of chemical weapons makes them a poor choice and Assad's forces have been doing very well with conventional weapons alone. Why mess with success?

Chemical weapons are also such as to make Western statesmen suffer hysterical collapse. Aiding and abetting al-Qaida and ISIS scum in a war that has cost over 400,000 civilian casualties in Syria and otherwise doing our utmost to keep the attack on Syria a going concern is not morally reprehensible but something like 60-120 civilian deaths and other casualties in this town are enough for WonderNikki to show photos in the U.N. and threaten that the U.S. will go it alone if the U.N. doesn't drink our bathwater. Wasn't the U.N. supposed to be the sacred collective security and peacekeeping mechanism after WWII? Our democratic values apparently include ignoring such nonsense and doing whatever the hell we want wherever we feel like doing it. Bombs away, suckahs!

Seymour Hersh and Richard Lloyd, former UN Weapons Inspector, and Theodore A. Postol, Professor of Science, Technology, and National Security Policy at Massachusetts Institute of Technology cast much doubt on the "Assad the Monster" thesis with respect to the 2013 Sarin attack in Ghouta. Yet, hardly 48 hours after this new incident important people, including Donald Trump unfortunately, are wringing their hands and exclaiming about "little babies" as though all on-the-scene investigations by impartial observers had been concluded in a day and the results were in. Some moron U.S. Senator thought the presence of fixed-wing aircraft, which could only have been Syrian Air Force planes, was the long and the short of The Case Against Assad. QED, Mothertruckers! He managed to get in something about barrel bombs too IIRC. The stark horror of unaesthetic ordnance!

Maybe it's just me but that doesn't do much for me in the absence of chemical analysis of the gas, and crater and bomb casing analysis.

The grand jury in St. Louis County, Missouri, took longer and had more integrity in the matter pertaining to Officer Darren Wilson, and the stakes there were nothing like what they are in Syria with its seeming infinite opportunities for the U.S. and Russia to go at it with very modern and destructive toys.

It's as though this incident took place and someone immediately whispered "Execute Plan A" and important Americans instantly began to fall over themselves to be the first to declaim about the innate evil of Assad and the unwisdom of leaving him in place in the New Syria. Oh, sure. Assad doesn't remember how close it was he came to being at war (overtly) with the U.S. Why not make a gas attack just for the hell of it? And infuriate Putin in the process. The man whose artful diplomacy headed off further catastrophe in Syria, even given the flexible nature of "catastrophe" in Syria since 2011 when this mad attack on Syria go going.

Like Will Farrell in "Zoolander" I feel like I'm taking crazy pills here.

I take a little trip and suddenly (?) everyone goes nuts.

I am beginning to think that President Trump is very easily distracted and does not think strategic like in matters of statecraft. It's vital that the U.S. step back from mindless military involvement and this "let no sparrow fall/oh look, a squirrel!" kind of strategic thinking is not something I find reassuring.

Have your peeps contact my peeps if you know what vital U.S. interest is implicated in our war against Syria unless Syria has the only supply of sanctimony on the planet and our strategic reserves have been pumped dry. (98% utilization just in the last 24 hours, I estimate.)

Monday, April 3, 2017

Thoughts From Deepest, Darkest Virginia

     Living at the top of a mountain sounds dandy – peace and quiet, great views, fresh, crisp mountain air – until you need to get somewhere in a hurry and find that a tree with a two-foot bole has fallen across the only road out.


     People up here have no interest in the sounds of gunfire. At least, I’ve fired a 12-gauge shotgun without seeing anyone come running. Of course, the running would need to be uphill, which might have something to do with it. Later my host says I can try out his 80mm mortar.


     The Internet is one of the marvels of our age...if you have broadband access. That’s not easy to get at the top of the Blue Ridge Mountains. This article will be posted over a 0.750 MegaHertz line. We’ll see how that goes.


     I’ve never had to drive 80 miles on a divided highway festooned by stop lights before. It was an interesting experience, but so was falling off a cliff.


     Why are the gas stations so far apart in this part of the Eastern U.S.? There are certainly enough cars on the road. On the other hand, they all move very slooooowly.


     A public-safety warning: Do not follow a 420 mile drive with heavy drinking. The anesthetic effect wears off quickly; the hangover does not. Especially do not couple the heavy drinking with a large amount of pasta in tomato sauce. And under no circumstances should one follow the drinking and the dinner with an attempt to crawl under the house.


     Among the other wonders of our age is the electronic book reader, or ereader. I have three of them. Unfortunately, I’ve read everything on all three. Maybe I’ll cruise Amazon later for something new...wait, over a 0.750 MegaHertz channel? This could require some thought.


     Has anyone attempted to correlate the average length of a vacation-by-car with the incidence rate of prostatitis? Just asking.


     Being away from home has a powerful liberating effect. Married men, beware. She might look good, she might be disease free, and she might not be interested in anything but an evening’s fling, but are you sure the scent will wash completely out of your clothes?


     When did the price of a bottle of domestic beer in a restaurant rise to $8.00?


     I didn’t know the mosquitoes got that big down here! And they attack in squadrons. I must ask my host whether any of his previous guests have been carr

Saturday, April 1, 2017

Most People

     Have you ever been most people? They’re awfully authoritative. If only they had fewer opinions, especially opinions that simple observation can disprove.

     I was most people, for quite a few years. During those years you could tell me that “most people are in favor” of this or that, and I’d start to align with whatever the “this or that” might be. “Most people favor the war in Vietnam.” “Most people think Social Security is a good idea.” “Most people think John F. Kennedy is a hero.” Sheesh! Back when, if I were told that “most people think the sky is yellow,” I’d at least entertain the notion for a moment or two.

     It’s awfully hard to shake the tyranny of most people – even if you happen to know most people.

     The Most People Effect is closely related to the They Say Effect. Indeed, it’s hard to distinguish between the two. They have a certain untouchability about them: You can’t argue with most people. You certainly can’t argue with they. For one thing, it’s bad grammar.

     There are subjects on which most people are right. There are other subjects on which they’re almost guaranteed to be wrong – and not because most people are BLEEP!ing idiots.


     The product reliability assessments most people make are themselves pretty reliable. The same goes for most people’s statements of taste in matters such as music and the performing arts. That’s because most people’s tastes are...well...shared by most people. It’s the factual assertions most people make that are likely to be wildly off base.

     We needn’t delve deeply into ancient history for examples. We have plenty before us today:

  • Most people say that inflation is because greedy companies arbitrarily raise the prices of necessities.
  • Most people say that Islam is just one more religion, nothing special or threatening about it.
  • Most people say that Bill Clinton and Barack Hussein Obama are both really smart.

     All three of these assertions are provably incorrect. False-to-fact. Complete and utter nonsense. Yet most people are in thrall to all three. Daily I thank God that the Gentle Readers of Liberty’s Torch are not most people.

     It’s easiest to escape the mental vise most people exert on you if you can test their claims personally and directly. Most people assured me that I’d never finish a novel. After all, most people never do. Once I’d finished my first book, most people told me it would never reach a readership. For a while it looked as if most people would turn out to be right about that...but the fly in the prognosticative ointment was that word never. Never is one hell of a long time. Print-on-demand and electronic publication came along well before never was over and done.

     I haven’t rubbed most people’s noses in that, though. I’m still waiting for my chance.


     (Josh Duhamel as) Milt Chamberlain: In my experience, when you trust people, they... they trust you.
     (Dean Winters as) Russ Agnew: Have you actually met... people?

     [From the television show Battle Creek]

     Now, neither character in the above exchange said most people. That’s because both were talking about people they’d known. At least one of them generalized from an inadequate sample. Still, we’re supposed to assume that both characters believed, probably strongly, that what they’d said was true of most people. It was part of the premise of the show.

     I can’t say which statement is nearer to the truth. I don’t know most people. Given the endless reams of utter bilge they’ve foisted upon me over my sixty-five years, I don’t want to know most people. But that doesn’t matter. They’ll keep pouring their ersatz wisdom into my ear whenever I don’t leave two or three empty seats between me and the nearest other patrons at the tavern.

     Most people, you see, think that they know something that you need to know. Most people are like that. At least, that’s what they say.


     “Whoso would be a man, must be a nonconformist. He who would gather immortal palms must not be hindered by the name of goodness, but must explore it if it be goodness. Nothing is at last sacred but the integrity of your own mind. Absolve you to yourself, and you shall have the suffrage of the world.” – Ralph Waldo Emerson

     I’m frequently spitted, roasted, and thinly sliced for:

  1. My preference for my own company;
  2. My off-axis opinions about just about everything.

     Most people, you see, disagree with me in both areas. They seldom stop to reflect on the relationship between them.

     You cannot have your own opinions if you’re most people. That’s the nature of the phenomenon. All observations about the utility of “crowdsourcing” to the side, most people are intolerant of opinions and habits that deviate from those held by most people. Sometimes their intolerance becomes lethal.

     He who elects a thinker’s life – properly tempered by experience, of course – must learn early on that such a life comes with survival necessities. He must learn to enjoy solitude. He must learn not to argue beyond the point of mild disagreement. He must learn to bear most people’s frowns of disapproval. He must cultivate an amiable grin and a quick step. And he must learn not to care about most people’s opinions of him.

     Friends are important. A sufficient number of friends might be a requirement of a long and healthy life; there’s some evidence for that contention. But the thinking man must find the sweet spot between having friends and submerging into most people. They have power one seldom appreciates adequately until it’s wielded on one’s own hide. And even friends can be a source of pressure to conform to some norm of conviction or conduct better resisted for the sake of one’s own integrity.

     You might wonder why I’m nattering about this on a Saturday morning, when there are so many important topics available about which to rant...but isn’t it possible that that’s because those other topics have been deemed important by most people?

     Limit your consumption of the “news.” Be skeptical of what you read and hear. Remember toward whom it’s being aimed. Do you want to be one of they? Most people do...but what about you?


     Posting will be light for the coming week. Please bear with me while I spend some time with most people a distant friend, the refreshment from whom I find I need rather badly. I’ll be back, as intolerable as ever, soon enough.

Friday, March 31, 2017

A Quick And Unpleasant Speculation

     Developments from the relatively young field of genetic engineering have already rocked the world. Genetically modified crops are increasing yields beyond anything previously achieved. Progress is being made toward the swift improvement of various food animals by genesmithing, as opposed to the much slower path of selective breeding. It might not be much longer before the genome in a human zygote can be edited to undo conditions such as Trisomy-21 (Down’s Syndrome). All this makes the amount of money and brain power being poured into genetic engineering technology easy to understand: the prospects for further profits are considerable.

     There are other prospects as well, not all of them as savory as the correction of disabling conditions in a new human. We’ve heard the scuttlebutt about “designer babies,” but we’ve mostly comforted ourselves with self-reassurances that that possibility remains far off. Sex selection, okay. But babies designed from conception onward to be exactly what their parents want them to be? Not gonna happen real soon. We certainly don’t need to trouble ourselves over the moral implications just yet.

     I don’t think we can be confident about that any more.


     As if you needed to be reminded, I write fiction as well as these grotesquely fatiguing op-eds. The overwhelming majority of my stuff is speculative: fantasy, science fiction, and the occasional dab of quasi-horror. To write speculative fiction one must speculate: i.e., one must begin with a “what if” that departs from reality as we experience it today. The possibilities inherent in the genetic engineering of Mankind are a rich vein that spec-fic writers have tapped liberally.

     But as in all things human, motive matters. Some who practice genesmithing will do so with little or no thought for the well being of the creatures they produce. Some will be outright villains, intent upon turning out subhumans...or slaves.

     Think about this for a moment: There’s a lot of curiosity about human evolution. We have an incomplete fossil record of the progress of the hominid family. Australopithecus, Homo Habilis, Homo Erectus, Homo Neanderthalensis, Homo Sapiens... There’s something missing in there, some genetic long-jump that brought human intellect to its current elevation. How could we explore it most directly, discover the cause with the greatest degree of confidence? Why, by recreating all the links in the genetic progression, of course!

     Scared yet?


     The same techniques that could conceivably end all genetically-occasioned birth defects could also be used to produce monsters.

     Who would do such a thing, and why? Men of little skill or understanding, unaware of the consequences of their undertakings. Cruel men, who like to watch others suffer. Men with skill but without moral or ethical standards, who would produce distorted caricatures of humans for wealthy others ready, willing, and able to pay them. There may be other possibilities, but those are sufficient for now.

     The base stock for such horrors would be readily available: zygotes “left over” from in vitro fertilization efforts. Many would-be parents are unaware of what happens to such “leftovers.” Others are unconcerned about their fates; they’ve got their babies, so nothing else matters.

     Just about as soon as it can be done, it will be done – and no law or exercise of State power will prevent it.


     It is, of course, a commonplace to complain that men have hitherto used badly, and against their fellows, the powers that science has given them, But that is not the point I am trying to make. I am not speaking of particular corruptions and abuses which an increase of moral virtue would cure: I am considering what the thing called `Man's power over Nature' must always and essentially be. No doubt, the picture could be modified by public ownership of raw materials and factories and public control of scientific research. But unless we have a world state this will still mean the power of one nation over others. And even within the world state or the nation it will mean (in principle) the power of majorities over minorities, and (in the concrete) of a government over the people. And all long-term exercises of power, especially in breeding, must mean the power of earlier generations over later ones.

     [C. S. Lewis, The Abolition Of Man]

     Scientific and technological knowledge cannot be kept “under wraps.” Nature’s laws are written in the largest of fonts, readable by anyone with the wit and the will. It has never been possible to prevent some from learning and using what others have discovered. It never will be. The genetic engineering of human beings, or of creatures whose base stock is human, is coming.

     All the barriers to inhumanity and cruelty our prior incapacity placed around us will have fallen. All that will remain to inhibit the genetic engineers is whatever moral and ethical codes we manage to instill in the generations to come...and we may be sure that some will shrug those codes aside for the satisfaction of their curiosity, for sadistic gratification, or for profit.

     I’ve been writing about this: working title Innocents. Watch for it.