Wednesday, April 8, 2020

Quickies: The “Educators”

     Mrs. Kimiko Komatsu, an acquaintance from USA.Life, has posted an article every mother of school-age children should read. It concerns being haled to a conference with her sons’ “educators”…because they were reading too well:

     I took my seat across from two teachers who, I noticed, were viewing me with a certain disdain. It was as if I smelled badly or was a known, convicted child molester. I could tell they didn’t approve of me, but I didn’t yet know why.

     The meeting commenced, without so much as an introduction, when one of the two women, who I suspected were the boys’ teachers said, “Mrs. Komatsu, while testing your sons we’ve discovered some highly disturbing information.” They now had my complete attention….

     “Mrs. Komatsu, we didn’t know there was a problem until we conducted a test to determine all the children’s levels of reading ability. We’ve never seen this happen before. The test evaluates performance up to the ninth-grade level and both your boys passed all elements of the test. Because of that we can’t determine how well they can read.”

     Were these “educators” implying that Sean and Mike Komatsu had cheated on the test? Apparently not:

     “Mrs. Komatsu, we need to know why your boys read as well as they do.”

     The answer was simple:

     “I invested the time in teaching them to read the way I was taught to read. I purchased a couple Phonics books, spent some time teaching them and then I made sure they always had something they wanted to read.”

     This did not please the “educators:”

     “Mrs. Komatsu, your degree is in…?”

     “I don’t have a degree. I graduated High School, that’s all.” I answered.

     “…and yet, somehow, you felt qualified to do a job best left to trained professionals with years of experience?” said teacher number one…. “Please, tell us what made you decide to teach your boys to read rather than allowing us to do it the proper way.”

     I exhort you, Gentle Reader, to read the whole thing. It casts a very harsh light on the true agenda of the “educators” who control the government-run schools. It clearly has nothing to do with teaching children to read…or anything else.

     I, who have extensive experience with the government-run schools, found the exchanges Mrs. Komatsu related in her article entirely believable. Others will undoubtedly protest that they’re “atypical” and that our “educators” are sincerely devoted to our children’s welfare. Draw your own conclusions.

Fear Exhaustion

     This morning, Sarah Hoyt notes a tragic death: a man who decided not to fear the Wuhan virus:

     A Virginia pastor who criticized the “mass hysteria” surrounding the coronavirus pandemic has died of the illness, according to new reports.

     Landon Spradlin, of Gretna — a small town halfway between Lynchburg and Danville — started to feel sick while in New Orleans, where he went to preach to the crowds gathered for Mardi Gras celebrations, according to the BBC.

     A month later, Spradlin — who was also a seasoned musician inducted into the Blues Hall of Fame in 2016 — died.

     [T]he pastor said he believes the coronavirus “is a real issue, but I believe the media is pumping out fear and doing more harm than good.”

     There's an important phenomenon being played out for our viewing pleasure, and Pastor Spradlin is one point on the graph. Each of us has:

  1. A certain level of risk-aversion;
  2. A limited supply of "fear energy."

     If Smith is highly risk-averse and Jones is not, then a threat that would make Smith cower behind a locked door will leave Jones unaffected. The threat might be real, in the sense that some percent of those who don't take the necessary precautions will be afflicted by it. Some might even die. But Jones is willing to accept the risk involved, whereas Smith is not.

     But the "fear energy supply" matters, too. If Smith has been terrified repeatedly over a range of threats, his ability to fear another one actively — call it his marginal fear-reaction capacity — might be down to zero. Under such circumstances Smith is likely to be paralyzed by the new threat. He'll fear it, but he won't be able to respond with deliberate action as he has to the threats he already fears.

     Quite a lot of Americans are in Smith's position. Consider the many things the media has tried to get us to fear. Yes, many of them have proved (or will soon prove) to be phantasms. That doesn't matter to the risk-averse. While the Wuhan virus might terrify them, their capacity to deal with this marginal fear has been exhausted...so they refrain from doing things that those who still possess a non-zero marginal fear-reaction capacity think wise.

     Pastor Spradlin had either exhausted his fear energy or was a "Jones" whose level of risk tolerance was higher than many others. If he got the dirty end of the stick, that doesn't mean he was in some objective, absolute sense "wrong," any more than a cliff-climber whose equipment fails him and sends him plummeting to his death was "wrong" to embrace his dangerous pastime.

     But beyond that, there are issues of governmental usurpation of authority – incursions into Americans’ few remaining freedoms – before us. The Wuhan virus, and the fear of it promoted by the media and assorted power-mongers in government, has enabled government at all levels to do something that has never even been attempted before: a nationwide “quarantine” that locks all of us into our homes, whether or not we’re sick.

     If that doesn’t terrify you, check your pulse: you may have died and not noticed.

     With regard to this subject and many, many others, I exhort my Gentle Readers to read Sarah’s essay from Monday. It’s both personal and passionate. A snippet:

     This is a situation designed to induce madness, particularly when all our news apparatus is trying its best to drive us to panic fear, because they think they can use it to then panic us into socialism. Destroying the economy is a plus value in this, as then we’ll need (they think) socialism. Socialism never really fixes such situations, but it is often something people embrace when desperate (before they get defeated and starve.)

     He who genuinely prizes freedom and understands how fragile and easily infringed it is will resonate to her sentiments. He who doesn’t? Well, let’s just say he’s exactly the sort of low creature the government-run school system has been trying to produce these past sixty years.

Tuesday, April 7, 2020

Quickies: The Sign Of Peace In The Age Of The Kung Flu

     Ours is a time of troubles, and what could be a clearer indication than this: no one shakes hands these days!

     Does no one else remember why shaking hands is important? It’s an indication that you’re unarmed – the hand with which you shake, anyway – aren’t about to strike him whose hand you’re shaking, and therefore that your intentions are peaceful. It might be the most important social gesture ever adopted.

     In this connection, note that women prefer not to shake hands. They’re more inclined to hug one another and exchange cheek kisses. This is not an indication of peaceable inclinations. It’s a mutual examination, intended to detect any concealed weapons and search out the best points on the other gal’s body for a quick disabling strike. As preparation for an initiation of hostilities, it couldn’t be improved upon.

     (Yes, all women are always ready to strike at any moment. Surely you already knew that...didn’t you?)

     Thus, one of the great imperatives of our moment is the invention of a substitute for the handshake: a gesture that:

  • Maintains “social distancing” guidelines;
  • Demonstrates peaceful intentions;
  • Is unlikely to result in infection.

     And your Curmudgeon, ever alert for an opportunity to put his Certified Galactic Intellect to work for the Greater Good, has come up with one:

The Spatula Shake!

     Visualize it: Smith, in preparing to go grocery shopping, first equips himself with his ritual spatula, as does Jones. They two encounter one another in some public place. Being males of our species, they recognize the importance of demonstrating their peaceable intentions to one another. So they draw their spatulas with appropriate ceremony, extend their arms full-length, and touch blades. Having thus indicated that they mean one another no harm, social harmony can be maintained.

     A spatula is the ideal instrument for this ritual. It’s a suitable length, it’s easily toted about, and it’s no use in a fight. Kukris would convey the wrong message. Pipe wrenches are unwieldy and can be used to deliver lethal blows. Back-scratchers would suggest inclinations that...oh, never mind.

     Accordingly, I intend to carry a spatula with me until the end of the current crisis. Possibly afterward, as well. After all, they’re useful for sanitarily scooping up small change found in parking lots, too. Just don’t tell the C.S.O.

Monday, April 6, 2020

Notes From A Peninsula

     No, Long Island isn’t a peninsula. Not really. Though we do have a couple of kinda-sorta peninsulas along the north shore of this chunk of rock. I’m merely exercising a bit of “poetic license” here. The import will occur to you quite soon. Meanwhile, “enjoy” the following, if possible:


     “No man is an island....He’s a peninsula.” – Spencer Dryden

     Have you been feeling like a peninsula lately, Gentle Reader? It’s getting to be a common condition in these days of the Wuhan Virus Panic. If you currently have personal contact with any other humans, it’s likely that they’re few in number. They’re probably related to you by blood or marriage. And if your experiences have been at all like mine, you oscillate between wanting to kill them with a claw hammer and holding them dearer to you than life itself.

     Just as a peninsula is connected to a larger land mass by a slender bridge of land, the loss of which would convert it into an island, most humans are connected to the rest of our race by a small group of intimates: relatives, friends, and in more conventional circumstances a few coworkers. The nearly complete foreclosure of human contact these past couple of weeks has thrown a brilliant light on our bridges to the rest of Mankind. What would you do if you were to lose yours? I shudder to think what such a loss would do to me – and I’m one of the most absolute isolates you’ll ever meet.

     Yes, just now you’re more or less confined to your home. Never mind whether it’s a necessary restriction; opinions vary, and if you’re a regular reader of this dump you already know mine. But if you’re not completely alone in your house, apartment, motorhome, trailer, or survival tent, it could be worse. Assuming that you don’t really intend to use that claw hammer. (You don’t, do you?)


     Apart from the stay-at-home guideline, we haven’t seen much impact from the Chi-Com Crud out where I am. The district is quieter than usual – that goes along with the reduction in traffic, one of the few blessings we’ve received from the Kung Flu – but people still mow their lawns, wash their cars, walk their dogs, go to the supermarket for their necessities, go to the liquor store for their real necessities, and so forth. If there have been any Lung Pao Sicken infections detected among my neighbors, I haven’t heard about them.

     There is, however, a strong sense that patience is wearing thin. We want normality back. (NB: “Normalcy” is not a word. Would you say “cordialcy,” “legalcy,” or “frugalcy?” The answer had better be “Hell, no!”) Most Long Islanders have the sort of job that requires personal travel to and from a workplace. As with the rest of the country, nearly all such enterprise is in a state of suspended animation. At this point we must hope it can eventually be revived...and the longer we must wait, the slimmer that hope will become.

     If there are effective preventatives and treatments for the WuFlu, we’d better get them into circulation P.D.Q., before we have a nationwide case of unrestrained cabin fever. That malady often has effects much less pleasant than an infectious disease.


     Yes, I’ve been writing. Of course! I’m a writer. But producing tirades for Liberty’s Torch is growing difficult. All the news is about the pandemic, and plenty of capable writers with better, prompter, and more complete information are writing about it. My Esteemed Co-Conspirators might be having less difficulty than I, though the decreased frequency of posts here suggests otherwise.

     On that subject, several of those Co-Conspirators have gone a really long time since their last contributions here. I’m thinking of “purging the rolls.” I would prefer not to do that, but every name on the contributors’ list is a potential point of ingress for a hacker. So, fellow Co-Conspirators past and present: you know who you are. Let me know if you want to remain an active contributor to this site, fairly soon. Pretty please?


     Approximately 1600 people have purchased The Warm Lands or have downloaded a free copy. Yet the book has a paltry six reviews at Amazon. That makes it difficult to imagine that there’s much interest in the planned second and third volumes in this newborn series...and that makes it difficult for me to work up any enthusiasm about writing them.

     An extremely low review count also afflicts Experiences and The Wise and the Mad, the second and third volumes of the Futanari series. Yet readers have praised those books privately, directly to me through email. As much as I appreciate the compliments, such “private reviews” don’t help to sell books. Need I say more?


     There’s been a proliferation of “social media” sites recently. At least, I’ve been receiving email solicitations for them. From their appearance, they’re built on a common technology, probably the Mastodon code base. A few names:

     These join the earlier sites MeWe and Minds as alternatives to Facebook. I have accounts on all of them, but I use them only to promote my activity here. If any Gentle Reader regards any of them as worth a greater degree of participation, I hope you’ll let me know.

     Gab appears to be the sole worthwhile alternative to Twitter, which has become an open sewer of left-wing venom.


     That’s it for the morning, I think. It’s time to arrange all the condiments by height and popularity. After that I think I’ll count the hairs on my dogs. Whatever your stay-at-home diversion, I hope it’s as fulfilling as mine. Finally, for your real listening pleasure, from one of the San Francisco Explosion’s seminal albums:

     Stay well and safe.

Why Governments Fail in Crisis Situations

This may be long. But, it's important to begin thinking about the Big Picture, rather than fumbling around for blame.

Every time there is a crisis, there is blame for it.

  • "Hoovervilles"
  • "The Cuban Missile Crisis (and the Mistakes JFK Had Made With the Russians"
  • "Reagan's Refusal to Deal With AIDS Made People Die"
  • "Bush Lied, People Died"
  • "The Wall Street Meltdown of 2008 Was the GOP's Fault"
  • "Obamacare Was a Disaster, and the GOP is to Blame"
  • "Trump's Failures Responsible for COVID-19 Deaths"
Unlike all the things listed above, reality is more complex. Both failure and success have many facets, and, seldom can the outcome be attributed to a single factor.


For those reading this who haven't experience with programming languages, that's like having your legal code written in Latin. In fact, there are probably more lawyers in the USA that can read Latin, than there are non-senile COBOL programmers who are still working.

(That MAY be a bit of an exaggeration - but not by much).

Why is NJ in this crisis?

Years ago, I was introduced to the Franklin Planning System. Still use it. The core part of it is recognizing that all of those things nagging at you to get done are not the same. Covey may or may not have invented the system, but he certainly was its greatest popularizer.


Both top quadrants are Important. The bottom ones are not Important. So, you might think to spend more time on the top quadrants, wouldn't you?

But, in the real world, we are most often driven by Urgent activities - those things that keep reminding us that they have to be dealt with - NOW!

If you do focus on the Left column, you are working in Urgent territory. But, half of those tasks (or more) are, by the terms of the divisions, not Important. So a good part of your time is being wasted on un-Important tasks.

You would think that's the Big Problem, wouldn't you? Just cut out those unnecessary tasks, and you'll become wildly productive.

Wrong.

Oh, you'll get more Urgent, Important tasks completed. But, you will have neglected the Important tasks in the upper-right quadrant - Quadrant II - Not Urgent, but Important.

A lot of those tasks are preventive care - getting your oil changed (failure to do so once wrecked a car I was driving), getting your flu shots and immunizations, taking time to exercise and prepare healthy meals ahead of time, scheduling your household maintenance before it's needed. All of those boring tasks (well, they are!) that keep systems, like your life and home, running smoothly.

As well as systems like government. And, that's where the problems come in.

Modern government is run by the crisis model. A substantial part of government is set up to deal with problems that arise, but have not been anticipated.

And, why have they NOT been anticipated?

Because government spends almost no time in Quadrant II - the Non-Urgent, but Important things.

This is the Squeaky Wheel Gets the Grease method of prioritizing. The loudest noise is noticed. Even though it's pretty clear that the entire system needs an overhaul, only two quadrants get a response - Quadrant I, which are both Urgent AND Important, but, also, Quadrant III - Urgent, but Trivial.

So, about 1/2 of the time, those activities that are put to the top of the list are, by definition, not important. That skewed prioritization leaves the Important, but Not Urgent, tasks undone.

Which brings us to today.

You can't just blame the office-holders who stand for election - although that's the people who usually take the heat. Cuomo is merely a symptom of the problem - someone who focused on Urgent needs, but missed some of the Important ones in the process.

Obama was so focused on demonstrating that he was doing everything right, and his opposition were villains, that he preferred a glossy "we're got this" projection, rather than deal with actual crises. Like failing to re-vamp our financial systems, get rid of debt (too boring!), and re-build the Strategic Reserve.

Some Non-Urgent, but Important Activities:
  • Replenishing the Emergency Stockpiles of Equipment and Materials (and regularly testing and maintaining those that were stored - many of the ventilators were in poor condition, many of the masks and other supplies were out of date).
  • Streamlining the work of vital agencies such as the CDC. They strayed from their core mission - to be the first line of defense in case of sudden health crisis - to play around with Non-Urgent ideas like obesity reduction. NOT their mission. Cut that crap out! While we're at it, reduce the size of the agency - too many people leads to frivolous make-work activities.
  • Encouraging regional cooperation among the states (and directing some of that wasted CDC money to them). Let them handle inventory, maintenance, and other resource management issues. Have the regional authority report yearly on the performance of their collection of states, and set goals for improving the state of readiness for disasters - health, weather, water, etc. Some of the states already do work on this model - the Great Lakes Water Compact, for example.
  • Education of the public. It's not enough to do a great job - you have to explain HOW and WHY it's the best use of your time. The speeches at the convention this year, and during the rest of the campaign, need to put the attention on how appropriate planning and execution will change the direction of the next crisis. And, that, yes, there will always be crises.
If the GOP got on board with the idea of long-range planning, and educating the public about why it's important, they could take this election - and many more thereafter. AND, shift the focus of elections to asking the electorate - what is really important?

Sunday, April 5, 2020

Quickies: Never Let A Crisis Go To Waste Dept.

     This article says it all:

     While gun prohibitionists have been complaining all week about the Trump administration’s memorandum declaring gun stores and their employees “essential”—demanding the gun shops be closed—Reason contributing editor J.D. Tuccille has offered this warning:
     “Officials with fever dreams of expanded power thrive on the fear generated by the COVID-19 pandemic…These overreaching public officials are enabled by fear.”

     It is fear that anti-gunners appear to be using to advance their agenda. In an email blast earlier this week, anti-gun billionaire Michael Bloomberg’s Everytown for Gun Safety had this to say about the Department of Homeland Security’s decision that gun shops are essential.

     “This is just one more example of the gun lobby’s penchant for using national crises as an excuse to grow corporate profits and scare people into buying more guns.”

     Reuters reported the comments from Everytown President John Feinblatt, who contended, “Adding more guns to more homes during a time of more anxiety could lead to more deaths. And that’s the last thing we need when our hospitals are already bursting at the seams.”

     Please read it all. A serious, socially and economically destabilizing crisis is when we most need to be prepared to defend ourselves – and not just from private predators. My upstate neighbors are fearful of what Andrew Cuomo might do to “requisition” supplies from them. After all, he’s already commanded the National Guard to seize ventilators from upstate hospitals, so what could any New York State resident imagine would be beyond him?

     This is a time to be armed to the teeth and ready to fight. Myself, I answer the doorbell with a shotgun – a Mossberg recoil-compensated 12-gauge in camo green – held at port arms. I heartily recommend the practice to all my Gentle Readers. Granted, the UPS delivery guy was a bit startled when he dropped off my most recent wine purchases, but there’s a downside to everything, right?

Saturday, April 4, 2020

Group Testing - an Idea With Some Potential - Update

It's explained here. Might be a good idea for apartment buildings and other large congregations of people.

More on the Group Testing - an example showing how it works.
Suppose you have a large group that may contain some COVID-19 positive cases. You'd like to clear those not infected, and identify those infected, to quarantine them only.
How can you do that, quickly? Say the number of potentials to be tested is 200. It would take a long time to perform that many tests (I'm told the average time for a Quick Test is at least 15 minutes). So, you take samples of everyone, and pool a tiny amount in a consolidated sample, which you test.
If it's negative, you've managed to clear ALL of the 200, and can move on.
If it's positive, split the group in 1/2, and, again, re-pool and re-test. Eliminate any new group that is negative, and split the positives into smaller and smaller groups. 
 Assuming that at least some of the groups will be negative, you are saving time on testing all the individuals in those groups. 
 The way the math works out:
 1st test group - 200
2nd test, 2 groups - 100 each - let's assume that one of them is negative
3rd test - only 50 in the group, so 2 groups of 25
4rd test - let's assume that one of the groups tested negative, so 12 in one group, 13 in another
By the 5th iteration, you're only testing 6-7 individuals
You can see that, typically, it will only take fewer than 10 tests to identify those who need to be isolated and treated.  Not only cheaper, but quicker, and using fewer tests (which will free up more of the supply of tests).

Modeling - What is it Good For? Well, think of it as a graphical representation of possible choice, and likely outcomes. Not prediction, but showing the odds on different situations and responses.

COVID-19 in SC, by Zip Codes

I just learned of this list - likely, your own state's health department has a similar breakdown.

It was pretty predictable. As soon as I saw it, I realized that I could have located those cases in the correct areas, just by knowing a few things:

  • Where are the densest areas located? The closer people live to one another, particularly in those areas with lots of apartments that are cramped spaces, the likelier it is to spread. If your living quarters are small and noisy, you are going to want to get out of there. You will be likelier to eat out, socialize outside, and interact with more people, thus increasing the chances of running into someone already infected.
  • Where are the poorer zip codes? Poorer people - generally - have one or more pre-existing conditions that increase the chances of needing hospital attention. Healthier people are likely to have few symptoms, and may not even need a doctor or to be tested. That skews the stats on who is positive for the virus.
  • Where are the transient populations? Understand, this is not just homeless, but also military and colleges. Anytime a lot of people without family are in a small geographic place, they are exposed to new germs. Their immune systems are already under stress. COVID-19 is just the final coup de gras.
Forcing people to harbor in place is not the best strategy for very long. We may have to accept differentiated isolation:
  • By age - sixty and older, stay home
  • By condition - those with respiratory diseases (Yes, even including asthma - many people downplay its seriousness, as it is so common, and generally controllable. But, in situations like this, asthmatics need to STAY HOME!), cardiac issues, cancers, and immunocompromised status.
  • Pregnant women probably should stay home - normally, pregnancy is more of an inconvenience, than a limitation. But, it does stress the body, and should be contraindicated to move about the community freely.
  • For now, children. They are germs little Petri dishes, who pose a serious danger to others. They may not get sick, but they will bring the disease home with them, and back to school. Better to move to online education for now.
  • Major cities. The only people moving around should be essential workers. Others should be home. It's cheaper to provide food and water (and delivered meds), than to pay for treatment and burial. Quarantine for anyone wanted to PERMANENTLY move out. Short-term moves NOT permitted.
The rest of the country should be permitted to return to work and more or less normal life - although with masks and less socializing. Those families with minor children should designate ONE person to work, the other to stay with the kids. Have as little contact with the person going in and out as possible, for a while.

What Is Counted And What Is Not

     Not long ago, in promulgating his entirely unConstitutional lockdown orders over New York State, the scrofulous Andrew Cuomo said that “if it saves even one life, I’ll be happy.”

     I have a question: How is he to know?

     Remember Barack Hussein Obama’s “jobs created or saved” scam? You should. It was Obama’s way of claiming that his “stimulus” measures were “saving the economy.” The “gentlemen of the press,” any of whom would have wiped Obama’s ass for him, so completely enamored of the man were they all, let him get away with it.

     It’s all about what is counted and what isn’t: two figures that often – usually? – depend on who’s doing the counting.


     One who seeks hard information about the overall health of a nation must start by looking at daily death rates and the trends therein. What can we learn thus?

     Plainly, the crudest datum is how many deaths per thousand of population the nation has recorded. If there’s disaggregation by nominal cause of death, we can get some sense for that. However, there are ambiguities, uncertainties, and exercises of discretion buried in any such array of putative causes. Ferreting them out is usually impossible without access to details far lower than those amassed in statistical presentations.

     Consider a typical but interesting case. Smith has died by his own hand: a suicide. His method may be of interest to cranks who seek to ban firearms or some assortment of drugs, but no further than that. The key fact is that Smith chose to take his own life. His demise is thus included in the death rates as a suicide; the charts tell us nothing further about it.

     But why did Smith choose to kill himself? Isn’t that a more significant datum than the mere fact of his death?

  • Was Smith depressed over his financial situation?
  • Was he hopelessly addicted to alcohol or another drug?
  • Did his wife empty his bank account and abandon him?
  • Was he in terrible, uncontrollable pain from an incurable disease?

     Those are only a few of the reasons Smith might have had for killing himself...and he is only one of roughly 50,000 suicides that will occur in these United States in 2020. If Jones wants to reduce the suicide rate, it is far more important that he know and address Smith’s reasons than know how many Smiths will attempt to suicide.

     Consider another interesting case, hopefully less typical. Davis, an AIDS sufferer, has just died. What does his death certificate say about the cause of his death?

     If the listed cause of death is AIDS, the coroner has scamped his duty. No one dies of AIDS: Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome. Death is caused by some disease AIDS has made possible: an opportunistic infection, a cancer such as Kaposi’s Sarcoma, or something else virulent that can afflict a patient with a destroyed immune system.

     Yet quite a number of death certificates issued in Third World countries list the cause as AIDS...because aid money from First World nations depends on the rate of AIDS affliction.

     So it’s not enough to know the nominal death rates, nor the rates of deaths officially attributed to particular causes.


     A couple of commentators have emphasized the importance of deaths in excess of prevailing rates as measures of the significance of a new threat. Their logic is thus: if the prevailing rate before threat T emerged was X, but since threat T has risen to X+ΔX, then the increment ΔX can be attributed, prima facie, to threat T. It seems sensible at first...but only at first. What it omits is the list of factors that are beyond statistical control.

     In our current circumstances, “threat T” is the Wuhan virus (a.k.a. Covid-19). But both the virus and the responses to it have impacted the statistical universe of American death rates. The nationwide shutdown of enterprise, social mechanisms, and much else has undoubtedly had an effect on death rates. How large? We cannot know:

  • Did Smith suicide out of loneliness or financial despondency?
  • Did Jones die from not being able to afford medicines or food?
  • Did Davis die because local paramedics are badly overburdened?
  • Did White kill his own family out of lockdown-induced insanity?

     Those are some of the secondary consequences of the “social distancing / stay at home” regime we currently suffer. Yet as real as they are, it is practically impossible to measure them – and they contribute to the “excess deaths” we suffer in this era of the Wuhan virus.

     There is no way to disentangle the secondary-consequence deaths from the rest of the statistics. There is no way to know, were the “social distancing / stay at home” regime not to have been imposed, whether the “excess deaths” would be higher or lower than we currently suffer. These are “experiments” we cannot perform, in the nature of things.

     Neither can we trust the many government-paid “experts” who orate to us daily to be honest, much less correct, in their pronouncements.


     Today’s calendar date, April 4, is one of the most famous dates in all of fiction. It’s the day on which 1984, George Orwell’s novel of a totalitarian future England, begins. A snippet from this classic is relevant:

     Down in the street the wind flapped the torn poster to and fro, and the word INGSOC fitfully appeared and vanished. Ingsoc. The sacred principles of Ingsoc. Newspeak, doublethink, the mutability of the past. Winston felt as though he were wandering in the forests of the sea bottom, lost in a monstrous world where he himself was the monster. He was alone. The past was dead, the future was unimaginable. What certainty had he that a single human creature now living was on his side? And what way of knowing that the dominion of the Party would not endure for ever? Like an answer, the three slogans on the white face of the Ministry of Truth came back to him:
     WAR IS PEACE
     FREEDOM IS SLAVERY
     IGNORANCE IS STRENGTH
     He took a twenty-five cent piece out of his pocket. There, too, in tiny clear lettering, the same slogans were inscribed, and on the other face of the coin the head of Big Brother. Even from the coin the eyes pursued you. On coins, on stamps, on the covers of books, on banners, on posters, and on the wrappings of a cigarette packet — everywhere. Always the eyes watching you and the voice enveloping you. Asleep or awake, working or eating, indoors or out of doors, in the bath or in bed — no escape. Nothing was your own except the few cubic centimetres inside your skull.

     Reflect on that, Gentle Reader. Reflect on what our acceptance of this “social distancing / stay at home” lockdown portends. Reflect on what those who worship power could do with such a regime — what the vilest members of the political class surely will do with it, given time and opportunity.

     To enforce our isolation and subjugation will require the functional equivalent of Orwell’s telescreens. Many Americans voluntarily carry one around with them – and state governments are already using them to monitor our movements. Despite a complete lack of Constitutional or charter authority to do so, law enforcement agencies are pursuing and harassing Americans who choose to ignore the decrees from “our rulers.” Do they confine themselves to disapproval, or are they using force? What becomes of those who refuse to submit?

     What will be counted, and what will not?

Friday, April 3, 2020

We Must All Adjust To The Needs Of The Times

     In this era of pervasive fear of contagion, when blessed with any of the great miracles of life, it’s supremely important to enjoy it to the fullest. Catholics know this, and have incorporated praise of God for such miracles into our rituals for many centuries. Still, some adjustments to those rituals are clearly necessary, that we might all survive the current crisis and emerge stronger and more confident than before. But once we have made those adjustments, we delight in sharing our joy with others.

     Accordingly, here's a photo of a Baptism ceremony held for a local newborn a bit earlier today:

    

WuFlu: How the USA is Doing Compared to the World

From these figures, it looks like the deaths in the USA are about 1/2 that of the rest of the world. That may be due to better reporting, more testing, or some other factor.

One problem is that in some countries, the doctors are just classifying ANY death as Coronavirus-related. Can't blame them for not taking the time to do a proper post-mortem; they're swamped, and a quick burial is more important than getting everything tied up with a pink bow.

So.

Is COVID-19 TEOTWAWKI?

Honestly, it's still pretty much of a guess. Hard facts are either not available, or can't be relied upon. So, for decisions needed to be taken, it's a judgement call. Therefore, the outcome greatly depends on the people making those judgements.

Can we trust Trump to make good decisions?

We can likely trust him to make decisions that won't tank the economy - his own financial well-being is tied to that. Therefore, actions that might affect the finances of the USA are likely to be grounded in those that shore up and maintain the status quo, as much as possible. Or, at least, make re-starting the business of America possible.

For decisions about containing and controlling the epidemic, Trump is fighting with those who would prefer to shut down everything - no matter who gets hurt - if it would bring them back to power.

Some people are going to die. Could a complete shutdown have saved them?

Maybe. But, if we do close America, others will die. By suicide, by starvation, by civil disorder. Maybe more, maybe fewer. No way to tell.

No matter what decisions are made, there are those whose first impulse will be to criticize. For them, the only news is bad news. No outcome could possibly be positive enough for them. They will always find the bad penny in the bag of money.

I'm inclined to open the country up by the end of April at the latest. By then, the infrastructure, equipment, and supply chain should be ready for whatever may happen. Those in fragile health may need to restrict their activities for longer, or to mask and glove up for an extended period. At that point, the benefits of shutdown will be outweighed by the price of it.

We may want to continue the school shutdown through the end of the school year. That's a huge population that are walking bug-carriers. The online options can be used; not optimal, but it will have to do.

Continued restrictions on movement out of the larger urban areas may be necessary. Already, nearby states are refusing to accept travelers from the more affected areas without a mandatory quarantine period. States are re-discovering the benefits of insisting on their territorial sovereignty, independent of national control. That's a trend that may survive the epidemic.

Guest Post: A Pandemic Tale

     [The following comes our way from Historian, the worthy proprietor of Views From Liberty Hollow. It will not leave you dry-eyed. Read at your peril.]


     I work at a hospital. Not as a doctor, to the well-concealed disappointment of my late mother (and the well-concealed satisfaction of my late father, who loathed doctors,) nor a nurse or a medical technician; my job is to ensure that the facility itself is capable of supporting the demands of those who use it. I'm a construction project manager for a mid-sized non-profit hospital in one of the mid-Atlantic United States, and I'm good at what I do.

     Generally, this hospital is well run, well organized, and well staffed with high quality people, ranking among the top US hospitals, part of a larger system also well ranked. If friends or family were to need care, I'd take them to my hospital, which I consider one of the two best in the system and the area, one reason I accepted an offer to work there.

     Over the years, I've overseen a large number of projects for this organization ranging from small cosmetic renovations to large multi-million dollar additions and renovations.

     The Facilities department saw this pandemic coming, and unlike a number of other facilities in the Mid-Atlantic now scrambling to get long-neglected systems functional, (which I hear about through my contractors but which will remain forever un-named), all of our HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) systems and all our negative pressure rooms (of which we have an unusually large number) were checked well ahead of time to ensure that they were fully functional and had received full Preventative Maintenance well ahead of this pandemic, along with most everything else. By early March we had all of our existing systems confirmed to be in excellent order, as did all of the other facilities system-wide; some needed more work than we did, but all were brought to good condition.

     Regrettably, in hindsight, system leadership was hesitant to expend funds or cut revenues prior to the onset of the pandemic outside China.

     Perhaps understandably, they were reluctant to commit significant funds for facility modifications or to take occupied rooms out of service for any length of time, so we waited and watched as case numbers overseas and here in these united States began to grow. We made more suggestions about contingency planning as the cases continued to increase. We started seeing cases in the area. And still we waited.

     We started seeing cases in our hospital, and finally we were directed to convert existing patient rooms to negative pressure rooms.

     For the uninitiated, this is a non-trivial modification. A negative pressure room or isolation room, has to exhaust ALL of the air coming out of the room directly to the outside. Standards are for 12 air changes per hour, and the room must meet certain negative pressure standards. That means that the entire volume of the room gets replaced every 5 minutes. Our facility policy is to filter all of that exhaust to ensure that we are not placing passers-by at risk of infection, further complicating matters. Normal air conditioning, even in many areas of a hospital, recycles most of the air to reduce energy costs, so when you throw that air away, as you must do for an isolation room, you significantly increase the load on the air conditioning system. It is a BIG change.

     I'll spare you, gentle Reader, the details, but in 3 days last week we went from about 10% isolation rooms in our hospital to 15%, i.e., a 50% increase in isolation rooms by dint of much effort by a number of contractors, vendors, and hospital staff. Those rooms were virtually empty last week, and hospital volumes were WAY down. It was rather eerie. After that success, I was directed to convert another 12% of our rooms to negative pressure, and we are working that now.

     This is now much more difficult as seriously ill patients are starting to swamp the hospital, and the rooms which were empty a week ago are all now filled or rapidly filling with patients on O2 or intubated, most of whom had been seen a week or two ago, evaluated as not seriously ill, and sent home with instructions to come back if they started to feel worse, not better. Well, they DID get worse, and they are coming back.

     In significant numbers, and this is just the beginning.

     This is compounded by the fact that contractors willing to work in a Covid19 ward with infected patients in the NON isolation rooms right down the hall are hard to find, and willing contractors are finding it hard to persuade their staff to work there, regardless of PPE, pay or anything else. I have been feeling more than a little bitter about the time thrown away, about having to deal with trying to modify patient rooms that are filling faster than I can get needed materials and equipment (which every half-decent hospital in North America now wants,) to modify them. I've now seen first hand room after room with sedated intubated patients, and I've seen the security staff bringing the bodies of those who've died to the morgue. And I know it is likely that if I catch this bug and get a severe case, I'll make that trip to the morgue in a body bag myself, because I'm old, with several risk factors.

     This bug scares me, and I have been weighing my duty to my family against my duty to my employer and my coworkers. I've been setting the example to my contractors and my staff by walking the work areas in Covid19 units, inspecting completed work several times a day. I never ask anyone to do anything I won't but lately I have been questioning the wisdom of doing that and thinking about finding something else to do rather than risking my life shoveling against an overwhelming incoming tide.

     And then this morning, while I was trouble-shooting a pressurization problem with one of the converted rooms, in a ward filled with Covid19 patients, I saw something I did not expect. In a ward now inhabited by unconscious patients, and nurses and doctors in scrubs, there was a man all in black, with a white collar, talking to our chaplain. It took a moment (and hearing the man called 'Father'!) for me to realize that I was seeing a Catholic priest in a Covid19 unit. While I wrestled with my pressurization problem, I also wondered why this priest, who I have never seen before, was here, in this unit.

     A few minutes later, when I saw him next, he was awkwardly donning, with the help of a senior nurse and our chaplain, the PPE required to enter a room with an intubated patient on a vent- cap, splash guard, respirator, gown, gloves, the whole setup. I overheard the chaplain say, "Father, are you sure you want to do this?" and he nodded. I realized that this man, who obviously had never been fit tested in his life and had no idea of how to properly don or doff his PPE, who was having to be helped by nurses to wear this stuff, was going into a room occupied by a dying unconscious Catholic patient, to get right up next to the head of that dying patient who was breathing out aerosolized infection, and administer Last Rites. That priest was walking into a room where any mistakes on his part, and he was virtually certain to make at least one, would mean he was breathing in serious illness, or death, and that dying man would never know it, yet in he went. Why? I'll never know for sure, but my guess is that he saw that as his duty, to himself, to his fellow Catholic, but most of all, to his faith, and he had to be true to that.

     Having seen the pressure issue dissipate (although we did not get to the root cause until later on,) I returned to my office, but I was mightily moved by what I had seen. How could I walk away, having seen that? How could I abandon my job, allowing some unknown, but likely less competent and less experienced person tackle one of the greatest personal and professional challenges I have ever faced, during the worst pandemic in living memory? Yes, leadership has made some stupid mistakes and they need to own them, but how could I leave my friends and colleagues, all the good people I know there, when I can help?

     I can't. As long as I can help, I'm going to help. I'm going to do my best not to get infected, but I'm going to stay and help as long as I can. Fear is not sufficient cause to leave. Failure of material support would be, but so far we have that.

     A few after-notes:

     Normalcy bias is real, and it has bitten a lot of people. You who survive this need to remember that.

     Refusal to believe reality will kill people. As Rand put it, "You can ignore reality, but you cannot ignore the consequences of having ignored reality."

     If you still truly think that this virus is "not as bad as the flu", I invite you to visit the nearest hospital and spend some time in the ICU with the intubated Covid patients. Of course, the only way you can do that is if you yourself are seriously ill and have to be intubated, and about 3/4 of those folks that sick die. If you survive the experience I'll bet you'll sing a different tune.

     This bug killed over a thousand people yesterday. If the death rate continues to increase, in three weeks we'll be losing the average annual flu deaths in a day.

     Lastly, it is better to have it and not need it, than to need it and not have it. True for food, toilet paper, ammo and N95s among many other things. I mention these because family, friends and co-workers, none of them stupid, needed my help to acquire same.

With regard to all who serve the Light,
Historian

Thursday, April 2, 2020

What Might the "New Normal" Look Like?

The extreme measures taken currently cannot last much longer. We won't be told to "stay at home", under penalty of arrest.

But, I think it's pretty obvious that daily life will not be the same as what preceded it. In what ways might that change?

  1. Social life will be in smaller groups - MUCH smaller. Gatherings, even in families, may be limited to once a year or so face-to-face. Think of an annual summer reunion, taking place after the infectious season is over (assuming that WuFlu follows a typical seasonal cycle).
  2. Video interactions will become the norm. That will end up being the way for friends to meet up and socialize, most office jobs to be handled (perhaps with periodic trips to the headquarters for necessary in-person work), and relatives not in household to see each other. In-person visits will be rare treats, and social pressure will force those sick or just a little under the weather to bow out. Large gatherings will NOT happen.
  3. Zoom, and other teleconferencing platforms, will take off. The demand will continue even after more or less normal life returns.
  4. Expect a huge drive to bring out the first affordable hologram/3-D video machines. The market pressure will be huge, and the first companies to perfect it will likely make a bundle.
  5. Off-shoring work and manufacture of vital products is OVER. The vulnerability of America to often-hostile foreign countries is now clear. American workers may well become more affordable, because they will not be traveling, buying much of a work wardrobe, or eating meals out. Families won't need that second car. And, they are less likely than foreigners to be pressured by their governments to take proprietary secrets or spy.
  6. Work - HR departments may be GONE (Please, God! This is one that I would consider a True Miracle!). Why do you need them, just to administer benefits? If people aren't interacting, there will be less argument to keep them. Outsource payroll and benefits. Dump the overpaid nags.
  7. For those in the restaurant industry, the good times are gone. Many restaurants will not survive. The industry as a whole has been on shaky ground for a long time. The pressure by activists for higher wages, along with the always-present likelihood of failure - estimates are often wildly overstated, but around 20% fail in the first year, and it's an expensive proposition to start one - make it reasonable that perhaps 1/2 of all restaurants will go under in the next year. Those who have made their living in the industry - particularly the servers, cooks, and cleanup crews - will need to find other work.
  8. Those who have come to this country without permission and worked at seasonal/marginal jobs, will find less work. Most will self-deport, as they find their former employment is no longer available.
  9. Younger people have a new appreciation of those workers who were in demand during this time - the truckers, grocery workers, nurses and medical staff, and first responders. Expect kids to pay attention to the lessons, and re-calibrate their career goals towards indispensability. The construction and repair trades will benefit from the change, too.
  10. The news media (legacy version) is dead, dead, dead. Even with COVID-19 "news" updates 24/7 (with the little scrolled updates showing below the programs) hasn't saved them. People are highly suspicious of the Official Media, and more inclined to pay attention to the Dissident Media. Many blog sites are moving to a partly paid model (some free content, but other posts for paying customers). That trend may grow, but, whether it does or not, the Legacy Media is NOT considered reliable anymore.
  11. People are re-discovering hobbies - crafts, music, old time puzzles and games, cooking, gardening, and home improvement/repair. The stories that they are sharing on Facebook are less frenzied and more relaxed. They are proud of their fledging efforts, and eager to post them.
  12. Sports are NOT going to survive, in the manner that they have been played/compensated. Mega-million contracts WILL be broken/re-negotiated, seasons will shrink, and schools, to the extent that their programs survive, will downsize them considerably. The money for the programs will simply not be there. The insurance cost for players in fall/winter sports will be prohibitive. Non-contact sports - skiing, bowling, archery, shooting, and track - will replace them, as much as survives the shake-out.
  13. School will change. The comprehensive school, with its periodic sweep of infections, may disappear. Many parents, having seen that they can function as teacher, will opt out of a return to the Old Normal. Many kids in middle schools, not eager to return to bullying and social isolation in the school context, will convince their parents to let them continue with home education. The smart players will jump into this new model, and provide high quality alternative education. Those with certifications/qualifications in math/science/special education may find they can't afford to return to the old way.
  14. The introverts will, if not take over, certainly be seen to be more mainstream. Some of the more exuberant extroverts may die out. Being a "party girl" or "the guy everyone knows" may become social deficits. Woman may gain a new appreciation of the guy who is ill at ease in crowds, but can function when confined to small quarters for extended periods of time. The guy who is both a pleasure to be around when home AND a handy guy with repairs? Winnah.
  15. Without the wild party atmosphere of evening venues - clubs, restaurants/bars, sports events - the "Fast Times" girls/guys will be done. Likely for good, but, at least, for a long time. On Tinder, "Likes a quiet evening at home" will look like a good bet, and "Enjoys cooking, card games, and reading" will be the New Hottie.

Proving Me Correct Dept.

     If you’re a Christian, or are (at least) aware of the teachings of the Christian faith, you know what importance we place on the virtue of charity. Christ’s command to “Love your neighbor as yourself” isn’t about warm, gooey feelings; it’s about coming to his defense or assistance should he need and deserve it. You know, “Do unto others as you would have them do unto you” were your situations reversed. Simple stuff, easily comprehended if sometimes challenging to act on.

     The Christian command to be charitable is why Christian churches invariably operate or are associated with charitable operations: food banks, clothing depositories, soup kitchens, homeless shelters, charity hospitals and medical centers, and other facilities for the assistance of people in need. We take this stuff seriously. Indeed, one of the mini-crises of American life – from a charitable perspective – is the near-universal opulence of our society. Very few persons, as a percent of the whole, actually need survival assistance at any given moment. There’s an actual shortage of neighbors to help!

     Simply for its illustrative power, there follows a piece that first appeared at the old Palace of Reason.


Looking For Trouble

Curmudgeon Emeritus -- Francis W. Porretto

October 27, 2003

     Interesting patterns and trends are everywhere around us. It baffles your Curmudgeon how an opinion writer could say that he has nothing to write about. As Robert Pirsig and others have said, "The more you look, the more you see."

     A Curmudgeonly acquaintance, who shall henceforth be called Sarah, can be found in the local supermarket every evening between seven and eight o'clock. Yes, she's married. No, she doesn't have a huge family that requires an hour's grocery shopping every evening. She spends her time there because she enjoys it.

     Sarah's not insane, nor is she unique. A substantial number of Americans shop for pleasure. If the supermarket seems an odd venue for this pastime, well, different strokes and all that.

     But Sarah's not shopping in the conventional sense. She's looking for trouble.

     No, no! She's not looking to start a fight over the price of eggs. She's looking for trouble so she can help to fix it. Since she's a gifted shopper, with a remarkable ability to squeeze $10 of purchases out of a $5 bill, she looks for people having shopping trouble: women who can't fill their larders adequately on their household budgets.

     Sarah's really good at this, and the folks she helps purely love her. However, at our last conversation, Sarah observed that fewer and fewer people seem to need her assistance. She mused about whether she ought to spend her evenings in a less affluent area.

     Another Curmudgeonly acquaintance, a retired gentleman whom we'll call Ray, has the charming habit of driving his truck around Long Island's major roads, looking for motorists with mechanical problems. When he finds one, he stops and offers to fix the misbehaving automobile right then and there, for free. Such is Ray's prowess with cars that he has yet to fail to deliver.

     But Ray, too, is longing for richer trouble pickings. Long Islanders' cars don't break down nearly as often as they once did. Worse, most motorists have cell phones now, and they don't hesitate to use them. Ray's been talking about moving upstate, to Sullivan or Delaware County, where the average vehicle is older and more likely to fail.

     This past decade, local churches have reported a strong upswing in volunteers for charity work. Charity kitchens often have more willing workers than they have clients to feed. Our hospitals are blessed with a goodly number of volunteers to keep company with the afflicted: reading to them, talking to them, or performing less savory chores that will not be described further here.

     A lot of Americans are out there looking for trouble -- and finding that there's less of it to go around.

     This is a happy thing. Right? Well, of course it is. Unless your sense of worth requires others in less pleasant circumstances for you to minister to. But the swelling of the ranks of volunteers has your Curmudgeon wondering.

     That Americans are willing to give so greatly speaks wonderfully of them. It also begs a question that many would prefer not to face: "Why are you doing this?"

     The question is not meant maliciously, but as a measure of another social dynamic whose arrival has been long foretold: the "hedonic treadmill."

     Economics teaches that everything is subject to a law of diminishing marginal utility. At any instant, to any potential purchaser, unit 2 of some good is worth less to him than unit 1. Unit 3 is worth still less, and so on. If there's a reason this law shouldn't apply to the direct satisfactions of life, your Curmudgeon can't see it. If it does, then the direct satisfaction of entirely personal desires -- that is, those desires that bear on no one else's appetites and interests but one's own -- will gradually lose appeal as those desires are met to an increasing degree. Therefore, as Smith prospers and accumulates the things he wants, the things that directly bring him pleasure, the effort he must expend to pursue more of them will appear to become excessive. When his efforts seem greater than the pleasure afforded, they will cease; Smith will step off the treadmill.

     Put another way: Just how many CDs and video games can you really enjoy?

     Of course, this is an oversimplification. It assumes that novelty and variety play no part. It also discounts the changes in tastes that come with age. Even so, it has some force. Handsome, affluent young professionals don't go looking for charitable involvement because they can't afford ski trips or find bed partners. Nor do they all do it because of religious conviction.

     We reach out to others, in part, because there comes a point where it's the only way to continue to grow.

     The Boomer generation, which participates heavily in the eleemosynary trend, has been the most individualistic, even self-centered, generation in American history. We've almost worn out the word "I." Even so, we appear to have reached our epiphany, our recognition that there are fulfillments beyond those of the senses, and that they deserve a place in our lives.

     It's a considerable irony that this should be happening at a time when true misery of all sorts is receding rapidly from our shores. Sarah's and Ray's clients are fewer and further between for the very same reason that Sarah and Ray can afford to help them: the entire nation is getting richer and economically more secure at an incomprehensible rate.

     Of course, that's not something to be unhappy about. Indeed, charitably-inclined Westerners headed abroad in search of recipients for their largesse might be the shot in the arm our airlines need. The airlines themselves might be the biggest beneficiaries of such a movement. Imagine that.


     As you can see from the date at the top, the above piece is seventeen years old. A lot of my readers laughed at it, back then – and it does have a somewhat humorous tone. Yet it was stimulated by real people and real events. That’s how seriously charitable persons – Christians, at least – take their charitable doings.

     At this point you’re probably wondering why this is at the forefront of my thoughts this fine April morning. Well, courtesy of my colleague David Drake, we have this offense against decency:

     An openly gay and anti-Christian New York state senator has condemned Franklin Graham and Samaritan's Purse for wanting to treat coronavirus patients.

     Samaritan's Purse set up an emergency field tent hospital in Central Park at the request of city officials. The respiratory unit, which will be supervised by Mount Sinai Hospital, can accommodate 68 patients.

     "It's a shame that the federal government has left New York with no other choice but to accept charity from bigots," State Sen. Brad Hoylman said. "You know those medical tents being constructed in Central Park? They’re being set up by notorious anti-gay bigot Franklin Graham. Mr. Graham must promise to treat EVERY patient with dignity and respect."...

     Even some in the city's LGBT community thumbed their nose at the Christian ministry's charity.

     "I don't want to demonize people who are volunteering their time, but it is a concerning thing," Amy Martin, a Brooklyn resident and former nursing assistant, told Gothamist.

     "On the one hand, this is absolutely an all hands on deck situation," she continued. "On the other hand, as an LGBT New Yorker, I would be hesitant to make that my first choice of care. I'd much rather be seen anywhere else."

     Remember what I wrote only yesterday?

     Homosexuals have made a habit of defining themselves by their sexual preferences. They’ve made those preferences the center of their lives. They’ve trumpeted them at the normal majority in a blatant display of disdain for and triumph over millennia of social norms.

     Timing, they say, is everything.


     I’m straining to avert fury. I’m also straining to resist clichéd expressions about “social cohesion” in “critical moments.” They come rather easily at times such as these. But I would ask the Gentle Readers of Liberty’s Torch a simple question:

If you could choose for your neighbors
Either Brad Hoylman and Amy Martin,
Or the volunteers of Samaritan’s Purse,
Which would you prefer?

     Imagine someone like Brad Hoylman or Amy Martin as a board member of your Homeowners’ Association. They seek positions like those, you know. For decades, homosexuals have sought the power to destroy those who disapprove of them, even by indirection. They’re heavily overrepresented in Human Resources departments, from which they can pillory anyone who excites their ire...and all that takes is a hint of overt Christianity or a single disapproving word or glance.

     To make what one does with one’s genitals the central defining fact of one’s life is about as immature and self-limiting a choice as I can imagine. Yet that’s what hatred-filled homosexual bigots such as Hoylman and Martin have done. They cannot abide being disapproved of for that choice. It angers them so greatly that they condemn others who disapprove and are willing to say so. Indeed, they would drive them out of their jobs and homes, were they able; that’s been demonstrated on too many occasions to warrant discussion.

     Such persons are acquiring ever more influence over governments and organizations with the power to destroy lives. Don’t doubt that they would destroy Franklin Graham and his Samaritan’s Purse volunteers, if they were able. That’s how deep their hatred and power-lust runs.


     I can practically hear my homosexual readers screaming that “We’re not all like that!” And it is so, and no argument from me. I’ve had a number of homosexual friends and acquaintances over the years, including one whose attempts to sway me to his side of the street lasted the entirety of my college career. They were all essentially decent people – but with a qualifier: Not one of them was willing to take a hand in disciplining his unruly, hatred-filled “colleagues,” not even to the point of criticizing them where others could hear.

     It’s a group-identity mentality, akin to that of many otherwise decent American Negroes. “We must protect ‘our own’ from The Man, even the ones that don’t deserve it.”

     I’ve written on several occasions about the dynamic that propels identity politics. Once an identity group acquires sociopolitical stature, it will spur the assembly of other identity groups eager to get their snouts into the gravy. Such groups swiftly acquire disproportionate influence, owing to their militancy and their short, tightly focused agendas. It’s deplorable – but it’s also irresistible. It’s why the political recognition of groups must be resisted at all costs. Clarence Carson knew this:

     [W]e are forgetting and have to a considerable extent discarded the methods for civilizing groups....Both the mob action and the techniques by which it is quelled are eloquent testimony to our failure to civilize groups. The current alternatives favored by “liberals” amount to admonitions to submit to the pressure and coercion of the group.

     If a convention were held to choose a Patron Saint of Americanism, my nominee would be the late Dr. Clarence B. Carson.


     And so we are seeing the emergence of a new identity group: white Christians. We have been blamed for others’ ills, trials, and dissatisfactions for long enough, and we want an end to it. We’re rejecting attributions of “white guilt.” We’re becoming socially exclusive. We’re forming White Protection Leagues. We’re establishing proprietary communities and refusing admission to those not of our kind. In other words, we’re doing what those who revile us have been doing for some time now – and of course, we’re being castigated for it.

     It was all as foreseeable as the sunrise. You cannot pour venom upon the Sarahs, the Rays, and the Franklin Grahams of our land without evoking a reaction...and that reaction has arrived.

     Time to pray.

Wednesday, April 1, 2020

Some Spelling Help

     In my rounds as the English language’s foremost defender on the Web, I’ve noticed that an old and very useful rule about spelling has been neglected — possibly with malice aforethought. There’s no help for it; I must once again leap into action.

     The rule:

I before E,
Except After C,
Or When Sounded Like A,
As In Neighbor And Weigh

     The rule applies when the letters i and e occur juxtaposed within the same syllable. Therefore:

  1. It’s not peice, it’s piece.
  2. It’s not seige, it’s siege.
  3. It’s not feild, it’s field.
  4. It’s not cheif, it’s chief.
  5. It’s not breif, it’s brief.
  6. It’s not freind, it’s friend.
  7. It’s not acheive, it’s achieve.
  8. It’s not conciet, it’s conceit (note the c).
  9. It’s not cieling, it’s ceiling (note the c).
  10. It’s not recieve, it’s receive (note the c).
  11. It’s not vien, it’s vein (Sounded like a).
  12. It’s not hienous, it’s heinous (Sounded like a).

     And so on. There are some exceptions. Two come to mind at once: seize and weird. But there aren’t many others.

     Note the single-syllable aspect of the rule. When the i and the e are parts of two different syllables, they can be in reverse order. For example, consider the word society, where because of the preceding c we would normally expect the e before the i. The syllabification dictates the exception: so-ci-e-ty.

     If you write, it’s important to spell correctly -- especially if you write fiction. I’m not trying to be a dictator about this, but the rule is easy to remember and easy to follow, so why let such elementary mistakes in spelling spoil the legibility of your prose? Granted that most spellcheckers will catch such errors for you, remembering to use the spellchecker can be a problem all by itself!

     Verbum sat sapienti.

Wednesday At The Whacky Shack

     Ever heard that phrase? It’s old slang for an insane asylum, as venerable as “nut hatch,” “loony bin,” or “funny farm” – and at one time just as commonplace. I like them all, as I have a fondness for archaisms. That you haven’t heard them lately should remind us of the vicious bowdlerization of our language the SJWs and PC enforcers have achieved.

     Anyway, here’s some entertainment for your April Fool’s Day morning. All of it has been most carefully fact-checked, cross-correlated, and assured of conformance to Liberty’s Torch’s rigorous standards for truth, justice, and diversionary value.


0. Of Little Or No Interest.

     Liberty’s Torch’s traffic numbers are way up, which is gratifying but also puzzling. We haven’t blazed any new trails recently. Neither have I discovered a treasure trove of gags so old they’ll sound new to anyone who hasn’t yet begun collecting Social Security. I suppose it could be because not every one of our emissions is about the Kung Flu / Lung Pao Sicken / Chi-Com Crud, but there’s really no way to know.

     At any rate, to all the newcomers to our blather: Welcome to the only completely meshugganeh site on the Web. I hope you’re enjoying your visit. We’ll be here for the duration of the crisis and long afterward. (Try the veal.)


1. At Long Last.

     A beloved colleague is finally getting the attention he deserves:

     Longtime hangarounds at this here hogwallow will be quite familiar already with our friend TL Davis, whose work I’ve linked to and excerpted many times over the years. What y’all might not be aware of is that, in addition to being an accomplished blogger and novelist (I’ve recommended his novels before here, especially the great Shadow Soldier saga), TL is also a screenwriter. As it happens, in the course of a discussion of his next film project with him, TL proposed doing a documentary on my old band. So we’re off and running with that project now, kicking things off thusly:
     With our first documentary Lies of Omission finally making its way to Amazon (not quite yet released) and other streaming services, we are encouraged to take the next step in filming a more mainstream documentary about the Belmont Playboys. How this rockabilly band came to our attention is a story in itself, but suffice it to say that we had other interests in common and the revelation of their talent and resiliency as a top performing band was indeed a pleasant surprise.

     From the rural North Carolina countryside, the Belmont Playboys quickly created a sound and an energy that captured the attention of a New York Times music reviewer by the name of Kathy Schoemer in 1989 as the band played the old Delta 88 club in New York City. From that moment on they were able to build a career out of doing what they loved.

     Mike Hendrix’s Cold Fury goes almost all the way back to the inception of Blogdom. His band, the Belmont Playboys, goes back further still. It’s good to see him getting some appreciation at long last, especially given the many travails he’s had to endure these past twenty-five years.


2. Priorities.

     Seattle has so many rampant public-spaces problems that it’s unimaginable that its law enforcers should have time or energy for anything else...but lo! What light through yonder window breaks?

     Seattle's top cop may want to get her priorities straightened out. In the midst of the global COVID-19 pandemic, Police Chief Carmen Best used her most recent "chief's brief" update on the coronavirus crisis to urge residents to dial 911 if they are the victims of racist name-calling....

     "We will document and investigate every reported hate crime," Best continued. "Even racist name-calling should be reported to police. If you aren't sure if a hate crime occurred, call 911. We are here to help."

     Help with what? With the suppression of Constitutionally protected rights? Was the First Amendment repealed or modified while we weren’t looking?

     Here’s Police Chief Best:

     Draw your own conclusions.


3. Rulers Gotta Rule.

     It would be a mistake to imagine that the petty people whose lives are so empty that they must make careers out of micromanaging our lives would give us a break during trying times:

     A few Los Angeles restaurants struggling to maintain footing amid the COVID-19 outbreak identified a clever way to generate revenue while still serving the community: Start selling groceries.

     The city's public health department promptly shut them down. The reason? The small businesses don't have a "grocery permit."

     "It's not really possible for a restaurant to become a grocery store," Dr. Barbara Ferrer, director of Los Angeles County Public Health, said in a briefing yesterday. "You cannot just decide you want to sell groceries."

     I seem to recall another story about small-minded bureaucrats destroying something wholesome and charitable. That’s what these bureaucrats do. They have no lives without their little bit of authority. As for doing something about real threats to public health, such as Los Angeles’ immense population of homeless and its shit-festooned streets...I suppose that would be too much like actual work.

     Can you say anarcho-tyranny, Gentle Reader? I knew you could!


4. Mustn’t Say “God” Where Others Might Hear!

     I admire anyone who can rise above his difficulties – and the worse the difficulties, the greater my admiration. Mike Lindell of MyPillow is one such person, and he’s unabashed about giving credit where he feels it’s due:

     Lindell, who just announced his company will produce 50,000 masks a day by the end of the week, was mocked for sharing his faith from behind the lectern, and encouraging Americans to turn to God in this time of crisis.

     “God gave us grace on November 8, 2016 to change the course we were on,” Lindell said. “God had been taken out of our schools and lives, a nation had turned its back on God. I encourage you to use this time at home to get back in the Word. Read our Bibles and spend time with our families.”

     For daring to exhort others to such simple acts of faith, Lindell has been savagely molested throughout the media. Read the linked article for the details, as I’m too disgusted by them to reproduce them here. (Remember: these people are puzzled about the public’s lack of trust in them.)

     I’m old enough to remember the pro-worship public-service pitches that once appeared on television and could be heard on the radio. "Go to the church of your choice" "The Family That Prays Together Stays Together." And does anyone else remember Archbishop Fulton Sheen's TV show "Life is Worth Living" -- in its day the most popular program on the airwaves?

     Families were more stable. Crime was far lower. Our public spaces were peaceful and orderly. And governments were far less intrusive.

     I know, I know: Correlation is not causation. But shouldn't we be thinking about this at least a little?


5. A Liberty’s Torch First.

     While this is not a news site in the strict sense, we do report on interesting developments now and then. We try to cite primary sources, when they’re available. However, as our primary aim is to analyze and comment on the news, we don’t always perform long-term follow-ups on such developments.

     This morning the site email address received a unique “request:”

Please remove article concerning myself Samantha Werkheiser from your blog. My appeal has been won, conviction reversed, and I have no felony history. Articles such as yours are hurting my ability to rebuild my life. If you have any questions, I will put you in touch with my Manhattan Attorney.

Respectfully,

Samantha Werkheiser
Sent from my iPhone

     Note that the email does not contain a URL to the article in question. Here it is:

     Homosexuals have made a habit of defining themselves by their sexual preferences. They’ve made those preferences the center of their lives. They’ve trumpeted them at the normal majority in a blatant display of disdain for and triumph over millennia of social norms. Given that, should this really surprise anyone?
     Julie Kay Werkheiser and Samantha Stone were both dance teachers in upstate New York. Werkheiser owned Studio J Dance in Waverly, about 40 miles from Binghamton, where Stone owned Creative Dance Elements. At some point, Stone divorced her husband and is now Samantha Werkheiser. And both of them have been convicted of molesting children. In February 2016, Julie Werkheiser was sentenced to 11 years to life in state prison after a jury convicted her of felony predatory sexual assault against a child. Police said that between July 2006 and November 2007 she abused two dance students, who were 6 and 8 at the time. Last week, a judge sentenced her wife, the former Samantha Stone, to 15 years in prison for first-degree course of sexual conduct against a child.

     Lesbian Dance teachers were teaching their students Lesbian Dance. At least we got truth in labeling...of a sort.

     Miss Werkheiser is correct that her conviction was overturned:

     Two years into her prison sentence for sexually abusing a child, a Binghamton woman's conviction was tossed out Thursday by a New York State appeals court.

     Samantha Werkheiser (she's also known as Samantha Stone) had been sentenced to 15 years behind bars in March 2017, after the 39-year-old former dance instructor's second trial ended with a Broome County Court judge's guilty verdict in the sexual abuse of a girl when she was 6 years old.

     On Thursday, a mid-level appeals court dismissed the indictment against Werkheiser based on a technical error in how the charge she faced in the retrial — a felony count of first-degree course of sexual conduct against a child — was pursued in court.

     When Werkheiser's first conviction was overturned, it was determined she couldn't be prosecuted for the original higher-level felony of predatory sexual assault against a child, because that charge was put on New York State's law books after her alleged criminal conduct.

     Instead, she stood trial for a lesser included charge, course of sexual conduct against a child. On Thursday, the appeals court said the prosecution should have filed a reduced indictment against her after the charge was reduced, but never did.

     Liberty’s Torch will not remove the original article. Rather, we are happy to cite both the original article and the subsequent one that details the technical, non-evidentiary reason Miss Werkheiser’s conviction was overturned. Thank you, Miss Werkheiser, for bringing this to our attention.


6. Another Injustice That Demands Correction!

     Yes, two in a row. And this one is part of an insidious pattern:

     LIKE THE UN, THE WHO IS ABOUT AS HELPFUL TO US AS AN ACCORDION IN A BATTLE FIELD: We Can Fight Pandemics Without The Communist-Allied World Health Organization.

     Enough of this! The relentless slander of the military utility of the indispensable accordion must cease! Field armies throughout history have known the devastating power of the accordion in warfare. The deployment of a series of polkas at sufficiently high volumes can utterly demoralize an enemy force...or failing that, set it to dancing. Has there been a field army anywhere that has prevailed without its Accordion Corps? Would you have us go back to those damnable bagpipes?

     Sheesh! Next they’ll be questioning why the NATO Alliance includes France!


     That’s all for today, Gentle Reader. The lawn must be mowed, there’s a novel in progress to be addressed, and I have other duties as well. Stay warm, stay dry, and stay safe.