Thursday, September 10, 2020

The Expiration Of Traditional Conservatism

     There’s a new conservatism in town. The old one, which feels itself being displaced, doesn’t like it. No surprise there, I suppose. But it’s worthy of a few words of examination on a relatively quiet Thursday morning.

     The old, “traditional” conservatism that feels itself being displaced is probably best characterized by a statement the late William F. Buckley made many years ago about his conception of the role of the conservative:

     A conservative is someone who stands athwart history, yelling Stop, at a time when no one is inclined to do so, or to have much patience with those who so urge it.

     “Stop,” of course, means “Stop here. Go no further.” It is a slogan against change, rather than for any particular value. It is the outcry of the defeated party anxious for an armistice that will preserve what he still holds against further incursions by his enemy. It is a maxim that implicitly admits failure.

     The pre-Trump GOP, to the extent that it was “conservative” in any sense, was that kind of conservative. It conceded that the enemy – left-liberalism, social democracy, “progressivism,” what have you – had gained much ground. It did not fight for the ground it had lost; rather, it accepted the Left’s gains as irreversible. It merely hoped to thwart any further left-wing gains, especially in economic and fiscal matters.

     But a “hold our ground” position will always be attacked with the enemy’s full force. Without a counter-initiative pressed with vigor and resolve, it will continue to lose ground. So “hold our ground” comes to mean “lose our ground as slowly as possible.”

     Yet that variety of conservatism appeals to many. Humans are extraordinarily adaptable. Given time, we adapt to changes in our environment, including our legal environment, with changes in ourselves and our behavioral patterns that will preserve as much of what we value as possible. But “change is hard, and difficulty makes people impatient.” (Arthur Herzog) Traditional conservatism, with its message of resistance to further change, appeals to our adaptability and our dislike of change itself.

     Once men have adapted to a set of changes, keeping things as they are appears to be “the path of least action.” It seems to require the least thought and effort from us. We’ve adapted; we’re still doing reasonably well; why exert ourselves any further? Especially if in our hearts we believe that the changes forced upon us are “here to stay” — ?

     If history has any enduring message about sociopolitical systems and their dynamics, it’s that the most difficult of all feats is staying in one place.


     My thoughts this morning were nudged in this direction by this most recent piece from Wes Rhinier:

     [H]istory proves and human nature holds true that the only time people are motivated to change is when the turmoil and pain of change is better than the current state of affairs. Right now I don’t think many people are happy with how our country is at this point in time.

     As long as we continue to vote for the lesser of two evils the best we can ever hope for is the status quo. But evil and the power hungry will never settle for status quo, they will always want even more power. We are losing ground by continuing to play their game, on their terms.

     As long as everyone has remained fat, happy and entertained, people have seemed content to justify voting for the system.

     Now, Wes’s essay is a broadside against simply “voting for the lesser of two evils:” Republicans rather than Democrats. And it has merit – if there is no prospect for converting the GOP from its traditional “Stop here” conservatism to the more modern variety which the policies of Donald Trump have largely expressed. That modern, Trumpian conservatism is founded on a question:

What should we be trying to conserve?

     If we can arrive at coherent answers to that question – answers that would be widely agreed upon – we will simultaneously answer the related questions:

What is not worth conserving?
What must we oppose with all our power?

     My question, to Wes and my other Gentle Readers, is a simple one:

Can we transform the Republican Party:
Away from its “Stop here” legacy,
Into a party that promotes freedom and American sovereignty?

     I hold that this question, which is seldom seriously addressed and almost never seriously answered, is the crux of our contemporary political discourse.


     William F. Buckley was no fool. Indeed, he possessed a powerful intellect and a great erudition. One of his other statements, which seems to qualify the “stand athwart history yelling Stop” maxim, runs thus:

     Conservatives pride themselves on resisting change, which is as it should be. But intelligent deference to tradition and stability can evolve into intellectual sloth and moral fanaticism, as when conservatives simply decline to look up from dogma because the effort to raise their heads and reconsider is too great....The laws concerning marijuana aren't exactly indefensible, because practically nothing is, and the thunderers who tell us to stay the course can always find one man or woman who, having taken marijuana, moved on to severe mental disorder. But that argument, to quote myself, is on the order of saying that every rapist began by masturbating....General rules based on individual victims are unwise. And although there is a perfectly respectable case against using marijuana, the penalties imposed on those who reject that case, or who give way to weakness of resolution, are very difficult to defend.

     While that addresses a single contentious issue, the general principle to which it alludes – Each of us has the right to go to Hell after his own fashion – is an important one. While Buckley was willing to consider exceptions to that principle, he would not do so lightly, nor without pondering the consequences and alternatives.

     If there must be exceptions to the principle of individual freedom, let them be as few as possible. Never accede to one without soberly contemplating the probable consequences. Traditional conservatism often espoused policies that had grave consequences – far worse than the goals held out for those policies – that could have been foreseen, whether from simple reasoning or from historical precedents. It is from that sort of dogmatic, uncontemplative conservatism that we must retreat.

     President Trump’s thinking and preferences appear to incline in the direction of a new, freedom-centered conservatism. For me, the question of the hour is whether we can swing the rest of the Republican Party into his orbit, or whether he’s fated to be a glitch on the graph of history. If it is still possible to make the GOP into a party of freedom that isn’t overrun by fringe loonies and anti-Americans, then the time for revolution, and the chaos and bloodshed it would entail, is not yet upon us.

     Thoughts?

Wednesday, September 9, 2020

One Great Song

     Now and then, a rising musical artist will “catch a break,” be noted by the producer or director of a film in progress, and one of his songs will be employed in that film. There are fewer such instances of good fortune than there are “rising musical artists,” of course – and some of those artists favored by fortune never rise very far. But their one song might just “rise without them,” becoming enduringly memorable.

     Here’s one such, from British composer / performer Alan Price. It became the opening-credits song for O Lucky Man!

If you have a friend on whom you think you can rely –
You are a lucky man!
If you've found a reason to live on and not to die –
You are a lucky man!
Preachers and poets and scholars don't know it,
Temples and statues and steeples won't show it,
If you've got the secret, just try not to blow it –
Stay a lucky man!

If you've found the meaning of the truth in this old world -
You are a lucky man!
If knowledge hangs around your neck like pearls instead of chains –
You are a lucky man!
Takers and fakers and talkers won't tell you.
Teachers and preachers will just buy and sell you.
When no one can tempt you with heaven or hell -
You'll be a lucky man!

You'll be better by far to be just what you are
You can be what you want if you are what you are
And that's a lucky man!
Oh yeah, a lucky man!
And that's a lucky a lucky a lucky man.

     A nice approach to what it means to be a lucky man.

Occasions Of Joy

     You may have noticed, Gentle Reader, that I’ve been trending somewhat away from the political / current events crap and toward...well, just about anything else. There are reasons, of course. Foremost among them is that I’m near to despair over it all and find that I must direct my attention elsewhere if I’m not to haul out the Barrett M82, the twelve-pack of Yoo-Hoo® and the emergency package of Oreo Double-Stufs® and climb the nearest clock tower.

     There must be reasons to take pleasure in life. There must be celebrations, satisfactions, games, pastimes, and simple moments of relaxation and contentment. “Life is not a dress rehearsal.” – Paul Hogan. God designed human life as He did because He wants us to live it as it stands, not to turn it into a marathon of fear, suffering, and lamentation. That’s my major beef with the Church’s doctrines about “mortification:” It contradicts God’s Plan as expressed in the bodies, minds, and souls of men.

     Jesus turned huge barrels of water into a most excellent wine entirely for the sake of the wedding celebrants at Cana. Remember what He said just before He did as the Blessed Mother asked? “My time is not yet.” When Mom put the screws to Him by telling the servants “Do whatever He tells you,” He knew He was “on the spot”...and He came through big time.

     So the C.S.O. and I have been concentrating on finding and luxuriating in our occasions of joy. As it happens, we have a four-footed one that provides us with an ample selection.

     The newest member of our furry family, Newfoundland puppy Joy, is about five months old. She’s a continuous delight in all ways...well, maybe not when she wakes us at 2:00 AM for a trip outside to relieve herself, but nearly all the rest of the time. The purity of her delight in things too simple to express is a reminder of the joys of childhood, before we became obsessed with money, careers, opportunities, advancement...and the news.

     A case in point: Joy likes yogurt. A lot. Especially Stonyfield’s Whole Milk Vanilla. (Hey, I like it, too.) And she likes it best when she can immerse herself in the yogurt-eating experience. That happens about once every three days. Herewith, a few photos of the most recent occasion:

     First, we have Joy becoming alert to the approach of yogurt:

     I get mine first, of course. (Hey, having opposable thumbs entitles me to some privileges!) Joy waits her turn semi-patiently:

     Ah, but when it gets here:

     Then there’s the afterglow, which the C.S.O and I consider particularly memorable:

     These have been just a few moments of joy with Joy. I provide them in the hope that they’ll cushion you against the effects of the national news. Do have a nice day.

What Changes Will Happen?

 No matter who wins the next election, there is a limit to how many changes that administration will be able to make.

Why?

Because people will not support changes that force them to change most aspects of their lives. They live the way they want to, within the limits of their ability to pay for it (or, persuade others to pay for it).

How does that slow/stop the change?

Well, take public transportation, for example. Most people agree it's a public good, worthy of spending money on. Big projects are announced, built, and debuted with many praising its capacity for moving large quantities of people, the stations' stylish good looks, and the ease of use. First-day riders often include the very progressive people who pushed for the project to be created.

Those same people who congratulated themselves on their 'Green' outlook, and the magnificence of the transport system, never use it again.

Ridership is always a tiny fraction of the numbers that were projected. Bus stops become vandalized, urine-drenched, and complete eyesores. Few ride, outside of peak daylight hours. And, even then, those riding are working people who have no other choice.

No one rides who has any other alternative.

Lack of money from fares leaves the system even poorer, less able to provide repair and maintenance, and cutting services to poorly-used routes.

Which is the status quo, until yet another progressive says, "We need to upgrade the transit system..."

Everyone knows this. Yet, no one - at least no one who is employed by the transit system - will say the truth that is obvious. That transit systems are 19th century technology, jerry-rigged for the 20th century, that can no longer be justified, either economically, or by social good.

Why doesn't anyone say so, plainly? This is the real reason.

Expecting a system to reform itself is useless. The only cure is to allow real competition, and let the best competitor win.

That means privatizing many of the services of government. It means taking away regulations, which means that employment in government (of the enforcers of those regulations) would shrink. It means chopping away at the ossified layers of bureaucracy, and releasing those employed in those non-essential sectors to leave (grease their departure with severance pay, turning their pensions over to be managed by means of an IRA/other retirement savings). Let them retire, with an incentive, if they are close to that age/number of years. It is expensive to do so, but cheaper in the long run (particularly if the pension obligations are reduced).

Understand, I'm not suggesting doing so in essential parts of government. But, so few of those exist, that we could easily reduce the federal government, for example, by 2/3.

What will those employees do?

They may go to work for the new competition. They may find other private-sector jobs. They might decide to start a business.

I don't know, and I don't care. At that point, they aren't any of my concern. As long as I don't have to give them my money to fuel their lifestyle, they can do whatever they want.

But, get rid of their employment. Expecting the rusty apparatus of government to change while they stay there is just not gonna happen. Any system, according to Le Chatelier's Principle, a system under stress will respond by shifting to reduce the stress. Such systems work against change, making adjustments to ensure that the status quo is re-established.

Tuesday, September 8, 2020

Ballots Sent Does Not Mean Returned

 Look, I'm a retired teacher. I've sent home a LOT of stuff:

  • Lab Safety Forms for parents to sign that they reviewed the rules with their kids, and agreed that the kid would comply. Failure to return meant that the kid couldn't participate in labs.
  • Permission forms for field trips
  • Lunch applications
  • Interim reports/grade reports
  • Information about their kid's behavior, failure to be prepared, or other issue
  • School Discipline Code - needed to have acknowledgement sent back
  • Info about school dances, proms, talent shows, etc.
What percentage returned the forms without having to be reminded - sometimes, more than 6 times, which included notice to the kid, letter home, and phone calls?

Maybe 30% returned the form without needing at least ONE reminder. I would sometimes have to make contact more than 4 times before the form finally arrived.

Now, the first form came via the kid. So, a lot of them rested in backpacks, never seen. But, I also made contact via multiple means, and it STILL required my time and energy spent on repeated contacts, before the form arrived.

So, what are the chances that all, or even most, of the ballots will arrive to save Sleepy Joe's bacon?


Look, some of them will be 'harvested'. Others will be filled by those rabid anti-Trump maniacs.

But, a lot of them will be set aside, and lost. It's understandable - people get busy, and not-quite-life-threatening actions don't get taken.

I've been there. When you have a choice between returning a form, and dealing with life-and-death issues, the form can go hang.

But, I have a sneaky suspicion that SOME of these ballots will either be incomplete, not returned, or - and this is what makes me wake up smiling - returned with TRUMP as the choice.

Yes, even for those who had reliably voted D every year.

I have other things on my mind - I just finished an important insurance agent test, and am pushing my way through all of the other paperwork/testing that needs to be filled out - EVERY YEAR! The deadline is near the end of September, so I'm focused on that, right now.

That still leaves a month to worry, prepare, and volunteer (particularly for driving those needing a ride - VERY important). Pray hard, trust in God, and keep a hand on your weapons.

Presidential Elections: An Observation

     The election-touts are thick on the ground these days. Each of them has a gimmick. None of them has proved particularly foresighted in the past. In the usual case, the best prediction that can be made of an upcoming contest for the White House is “We’ll have to wait and see.”

     HOWEVER...

     (You knew that was coming, didn’t you?)

     Certain patterns in presidential contests since the Civil War are available for anyone to note. One that struck me rather powerfully some years ago – and I don’t think I’m the only one who’s noticed – is the predictive power of the lengths of the candidates’ last names. First, the twenty-four presidential elections subsequent to the assassination of Abraham Lincoln:

  • 1868: Grant defeated Seymour
  • 1872: Grant defeated Hendricks
  • 1876: Hayes defeated Tilden
  • 1880: Garfield defeated Hancock
  • 1884: Cleveland defeated Blaine
  • 1888: Harrison defeated Cleveland
  • 1892: Cleveland defeated Harrison
  • 1896: McKinley defeated Bryan
  • 1900: McKinley defeated Bryan
  • 1904: Roosevelt defeated Parker
  • 1908: Taft defeated Bryan
  • 1912: Wilson defeated Taft
  • 1916: Wilson defeated Hughes
  • 1920: Harding defeated Cox
  • 1924: Coolidge defeated Davis
  • 1928: Hoover defeated Smith
  • 1932: Roosevelt defeated Hoover
  • 1936: Roosevelt defeated Landon
  • 1940: Roosevelt defeated Willkie
  • 1944: Roosevelt defeated Dewey
  • 1948: Truman defeated Dewey
  • 1952: Eisenhower defeated Stevenson
  • 1956: Eisenhower defeated Stevenson
  • 1960: Kennedy defeated Nixon

     So we can see that prior to 1964, Americans tended to prefer the major-party candidate with the longer last name. Note the dominance of the candidate with the longer last name during those years: in those years, the candidate with the longer last name prevailed eighteen out of twenty-four times.

     Now begins the post-JFK-assassination regime. Here are the contestants:

  • 1964: Johnson defeated Goldwater
  • 1968: Nixon defeated Humphrey
  • 1972: Nixon defeated McGovern
  • 1976: Carter defeated Ford
  • 1980: Reagan defeated Carter
  • 1984: Reagan defeated Mondale
  • 1988: Bush defeated Dukakis
  • 1992: Clinton defeated Bush
  • 1996: Clinton defeated Dole
  • 2000: Bush defeated Gore
  • 2004: Bush defeated Kerry
  • 2008: Obama defeated McCain
  • 2012: Obama defeated Romney
  • 2016: Trump defeated Clinton

     The 1976 and 1992 elections were exceptional ones. In 1976, the incumbent had never before even run for president or vice-president, and had been selected by a badly beleaguered president soon to be impeached (Richard Nixon) to replace a disgraced vice-president (Spiro Agnew). In 1992, the incumbent had been badly damaged by having broken a key promise from his 1988 campaign (i.e., not to raise taxes). Of the other elections after the Kennedy assassination, victory went to the candidate with the shorter (or equally short) last name eleven out of twelve times.

     What accounts for the change in preference? Unclear. It might have had something to do with the space race, or perhaps with the Vietnam War. Alternately, it’s been proposed that voters are suffering from an epidemic of writer’s cramp, but surely in an age of machine voting that could be discounted. Research must continue. But whatever the cause, it’s plain that dominance has passed to the man with the shorter name.

     SO! Could it be that the Democrats’ otherwise inexplicable nomination of a demonstrably corrupt, deceitful, senile old man was founded on his short last name – no longer than that of his opponent? I’m not the only one who can count, and what other explanation is there for the Democrats’ decision to run a doddering old fool who’s afraid to face unscripted questions from a live audience?

The Military Coup Plot

 There's already been at least ONE coup (I'm referring to the effort to impeach Trump, facilitated by fabricated 'evidence' with connections to the FBI and the CIA).

This is different. There have been OPENLY circulated plans to bring down Trump, should he acquire a majority of the electoral votes. And, the military is considered a key component of that plan.

The framework for this effort was laid, long ago. During the Obama administration, do you remember the high numbers of officers removed, encouraged to retire, and pressured to leave? That, in addition to forcing the troops to prance around in heels, attend PC indoctrination, be punished for bringing in references to their Christian faith, and otherwise seem to be in opposition to the Democratic platform, left spaces for the Left to cram their SJWs into the spaces that opened up.

Prepare. For disruptions to banking, food supplies, communications. For riots that might trigger "temporary" gun restrictions. For no access to banks or your own money.

ALL of the above can be triggered without the Executive Branch taking a single step. 

  • The Federal Reserve - not a part of the Federal government - can impose rules that make it impossible for banks to function. And the price for returning to business might easily be freezes on dissidents' accounts.
  • The corporations can halt supplies to dissident cities.
  • The unions can stop the flow of trucks.
  • The companies, in combination with the bureaucrats, can stop non-approved communications (a simple command can lock down the sites that might provide resistance, whether through ISP, mobile service, or individual content provider sites). Anyone who thinks they are not already on a list is living in a dream world.
  • The Post Office lives in the Left's butt.
I'm going to buy a couple of burner phones today, in cash, at different stores. Just in case.

Also, gonna check to see whether my radio is completely charged up. And, finally buy that battery case that is for emergency use, should I not have access to power for a time.

Yeah, I'm finally getting really concerned. The fire is getting close enough to singe me.

Overburdened, Fatigued, And Disheartened

     That’s your humble Curmudgeon this morning. On such occasions it’s best that I refrain from bloviating in my usual idiom. So have a few links I found significant enough to use as jumping-off material...and would have used thus if I felt equal to the challenge of writing at all:

     Have a nice day. Hopefully I’ll feel better tomorrow.

Conversations

     The C.S.O. is very fond of her gas grill. For years she’s used it at every opportunity. However, this summer she’s used it perhaps half as often as usual, owing to inclement weather and other disincentives. But the weekend just behind us seemed to present her with a perfect opportunity...which she barely used. And so:

FWP: (laughs)
CSO: Hm? Whazzat for?

FWP: Labor Day weekend is one of the big grilling weekends, right? Like Memorial Day weekend?
CSO: Yeah...

FWP: How many times did you grill this weekend?
CSO: Once.

FWP: Hah! Another beautiful theory assassinated by an ugly fact!
CSO: Well, all we had last night was cheese and crackers. I could hardly have grilled that.

FWP: What’s this? The House Foodie has never heard of grilled cheese?
CSO: (unprintable)

Monday, September 7, 2020

What Makes the Left Fascist?

 It's not merely their use of thugs to create chaos in the cities - although, yes, the Fascists of Germany and Italy had that practice.

It's not merely their use of symbolic flags, uniforms, and insistence on the public conforming with physical displays of allegiance (kneeling, saluting with closed fist).

It's not merely the acceptance of violence (indeed, the joyous use of it to intimidate and cow non-believers).

But, it's also the melding of a select few of the bigger corporations and extremely wealthy individuals into their scheme to take over. The tech companies and their owners/largest shareholders, the media giants, the biggest universities, the heads of foundations, and many of the Fortune 500 companies' leadership - all have allied with the Left, for the most base reason. That reason is that the restrictions, laws, and rules will not apply to them. Either formally, with exceptions to laws and regulations, or informally, by declining to enforce them against favored groups, they will not have to operate with the same constraints as their competitors.

In the rush to blame the military apparatus of the Fascists, modern historians neglect the part played by the largest companies, who made their deal with the Devil for the advantage it gave them in the market.

Just like is happening with corporations and the Left today.

Sunday, September 6, 2020

Laying Out The Dynamic

     Beware, Gentle Reader. I’m about to make extensive use of the word they. I’ll be using it without saying explicitly who I mean by it. That will make what follows sound somewhat...conspiratorial. Even a trifle loopy. But you’re easily bright enough and well-informed enough to know of whom I speak. Otherwise, you wouldn’t be here in the first place, right?


     They prefer the isolated, undefended target:

  • The establishment with no security;
  • The organization that welcomes all comers;
  • The isolated and apparently undefended home;
  • The unarmed individual going quietly about his business.

     You can read about such incidents in innumerable stories heavily bruited about on the Web. The pattern is surely clear by now: if you’re isolated and unable (or unwilling) to defend yourself, you’re a choice victim and therefore more likely to be targeted than the large, coherent group or the conspicuously armed citizen. The cases where they have met powerful, numerically superior, or armed opposition serve to highlight their tactical preferences.

     What do they hope to achieve in this fashion? Why, the same as any terrorist anywhere or anywhen: terror. First, they seek to paralyze normal social and commercial interactions. That induces a first-stage atomization that creates more targets. Second, they seek to intimidate and subjugate: both those whom they target overtly and those who envision themselves as likely targets-to-be. Third, by their seemingly unopposed advance, they seek to create the impression that they cannot and will not be stopped. That induces some among the powers-that-be to think in terms of “negotiation” and “compromise.”

     (Let us pass for the moment over the folly of negotiating or compromising with them. Other governments have done it many times. There’s no reason to think ours is somehow protected against that variety of madness. Indeed, were another man in the White House, we might have seen it already.)

     And they have allies. Their allies aren’t necessarily explicit about it, though being not too terribly bright, they do occasionally let the mask slip. Those allies speak in “reasonable” tones. They strive to make a degree of surrender sound like “the most prudent course.” And they “but” quite a lot: “Of course, no one condones this violence, but...”

     Allies with political altitude have already assisted them substantially. The police stand-downs and reductions in funding for police departments make the allies’ allegiance plain. The lockdowns and related mandates have parted us from one another – and from one another’s support and defense – to a highly convenient degree...convenient for them.

     And they are exploiting those allies’ assistance to the fullest.


     Quite recently, I wrote that:

     ...we’ve seen one demonstration after another of the power of a militant minority with a short, coherent agenda. That militant minority is capitalizing on the diffuseness of its opposition: i.e., us. Their aims are few, while ours are many. It’s easier for us to say “I can’t do anything about it,” or “someone else will take care of it,” than to engage in the struggle. Thus we cede the initiative to those who seek to destroy what we claim to cherish.

     There may not be a solution. Decent persons at a distance from such scurrilities are difficult to rouse to action. They have their own lives to live: their own responsibilities to discharge, their own bills to pay, and their own worries to worry. Rallying the majority of the population of the nation against the hatred and lunacy the Left has unleashed is difficult even to imagine. It didn’t happen in Revolutionary times – the consensus among historians of the era is that no more than 10% of American colonials were enthusiastic supporters of the Revolution, much less actively engaged in making independence from Britain happen – and it’s less likely in our current era.

     As I wrote above, they are a mobile force that preys on conveniently isolated and / or undefended targets. They have a planning corps, a source of funds and other resources, a scouting apparatus, and sufficient mobility to strike anywhere in these United States. We’ve all seen the pictures of their fleets of buses.

     They have the initiative. We’ve been playing defense – to the extent that we’ve been “playing” at all. That’s why they continue to advance.

     And so it will be until we seize the initiative, seek them out wherever they are, and destroy them — and all their political allies – to the last man.

Working hypothesis.

The reality is that the global economy was broken by these lock downs and the now indisputable over-reaction by governments to effect fundamental political change and oust Trump from power.[1]
The key tell that there's an unannounced agenda was the heavy-handed censorship and duplicity surrounding the efficacy of hydroxychloroquine. Someone with the ability to control "the narrative" on multiple fronts did not want the notion of effective early treatment to see the light of day. I know of at least one congenial and quite nonpolitical vlogger, Praveen Mohan, who made some innocuous comment about HCQ and found himself the target of YouTube harassment. Bam. Problems with his account.

The other tell is the paucity of official statistics that make an attempt to provide some perspective about the scamdemic. Information issued but nothing reflecting intelligent analysis. No info on infections/deaths compared to other afflictions, vulnerability according to age, comorbidity, danger of residence in assisted living, etc. Nothing reflecting a search for perspective of any kind.

Another was the creepy emphasis on development of an entirely new vaccine, from a standing start already, which would save us. No doubt about it. Cost? Mandatory or voluntary? Strange silence over the land. But somehow in our stars. Definitely. Just axe Bill.

Yet another was the official skewing of the numbers, with orders from on high to count deaths as corona virus deaths if at all possible. Death following motorcycle accident plus corona virus infection? Corona virus death, baby. Has to be.

And, finally, yet another tell being the profound silence about the actual long-term effect on the economy. This nation's economy was basically kneecapped and no one . . . NO ONE . . . of any prominence stood up to count the cost of shutdown v. saving X number of lives. Good to save lives? Hosannah, hosannah. Good to destroy the economy? . . . crickets . . . . And now we're back to doing backflips over the stock market with a confused and desperate Federal Reserve.

Notes
[1] "The Pipeline, The Poison, & The Politics." By Tom Luongo, ZeroHedge, 9/5/20.

Saturday, September 5, 2020

The “Peaceful Majority” Tactic

     Many people think it impossible for guerrillas to exist for long in the enemy's rear. Such a belief reveals lack of comprehension of the relationship that should exist between the people and the troops. The former may be likened to water, the latter to the fish who inhabit it. How may it be said that these two cannot exist together? – Mao Tse-tung

     From Jim Hoft at Gateway Pundit comes this bit of reportage:

     Don’t believe your lying eyes.
     Believe the fake news “journalists” at the Washington Post.

     This is the crap salad the far left WaPo is serving today.

     Now you know why no one trusts the mainstream media.

     About 93 percent of the racial-justice protests that swept the United States this summer remained peaceful and nondestructive, according to a report released Thursday, with the violence and property damage that has dominated political discourse constituting only a minute portion of the thousands of demonstrations that followed the killing of George Floyd in May.

     The report, produced by the nonprofit Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project, also concluded that an escalation in the government response to protests and a sharp uptick in extremist activity means the United States faces a growing risk of “political violence and instability” ahead of the 2020 election.

     It calls to mind a brilliant video that features one of my personal heroines, Brigitte Gabriel:

     The “peaceful majority” shields the militant minority that undertakes the “work” of “revolution.” It is always that way. Never in history has a revolutionary movement comprised more than about 10% of the population among which it operated. The Antifa / Black Lives Matter forces rampaging through our cities come to far less than 10% of the population of this nation.

     The “peaceful majority” tactic shielded the Nazis as they rose to power. It shielded Lenin’s Bolsheviks as they rose to power. It shields Muslims as their jihadis ravage Europe. And it is shielding the violent revolutionaries doing their damnedest to terrorize Americans into surrendering their rights to the Left.


     Herewith, have two widely contrasting opinions on “what is to be done:”

     There is no question that dispatching military forces to quell the violence in the afflicted cities would have grave consequences. Those consequences might take decades to play out completely. And Schlichter has a powerful point about the unfavorable operating environment the military would confront in such places as Portland and Seattle. Arresting rioters and turning them over to civil “authorities” unwilling even to hold them, much less prosecute them, would be pointless. Events have already demonstrated that.

     But as Will Briggs points out, there are other methods, including live fire:

     ...it is not legal to riot, burn, loot, pillage, commit mayhem and murder, even if done in the name of “anti-racism” or whatever other slogan the rabble uses to justify their rapine. It is, however, legal to use force, even deadly force, to quell riots. Further, everybody knows all these things and the reasons behind them. So opening fire is justified, though perhaps not prudent. I say it is prudent, and hope to convince you of that.

     Everybody also knows progressive mayors, governors and most of our oligarchs are encouraging the riots, asking their own people, as it were, to shit in their own backyards and then light themselves on fire. These rulers have no love for their peoples, and are acting immorally to increase their own power. These rulers thus have no moral authority and can and must be usurped by higher authority. Part of “opening fire” would include the arrest, trial, and hanging of those mayors, governors, and oligarchs convicted of treason and dereliction of sacred duty.

     Opening fire might indeed lose Trump the election, because propagandists would scream “Literally Hitler!” with demonic fury—well, with increased demonic fury. These propagandists would be believed by a sufficient number of the easily persuaded. If Trump loses because of opening fire, right wing purges would begin in earnest next January, and our approach toward the leftist singularity would accelerate....

     It is clear the left—the forces behind Forgetful Joe—will do all they can to steal the election. It takes less effort than you think to get away it, too. There’s no need to cheat in, say, California and New York. These are going blue no matter what. Have free elections there, and tout how honest they were! But states like Michigan might go red, and tip the balance. The left only has to cheat in progressive controlled Detroit and Ann Arbor and leave the rest alone to win.

     Whether it would be wise to go to all-out, live-fire military suppression of the riots – including the arrest, trial, and punishment of the various mayors and governors tacitly and / or openly encouraging them – thus depends upon a single question: Would the consequences of doing so be worse than the consequences of allowing the riots to continue?

     Under the laws and precedents relevant to the suppression of riots and insurrections, the “peaceful majority” acting as a shield to the violent rioters is in the same position as an accessory to murder: just as culpable, legally, as the man who pulled the trigger. But the legal aspects of the matter are only part of it. What about the social and political consequences? Can we estimate them with any assurance?

     One consequence might be the restoration of confidence in the greater American public that the federal government will act to protect public order when necessary. That’s an important conviction to restore and strengthen. But another would be the inculcation of a “win or die” mindset among the diehard revolutionaries. Thus there could be a brief flare-up of even more intense violence from the portion of the insurrectionists who have not yet been dealt with. I believe that such a flare-up would be brief, and no harder to extinguish than the riots of today...but I could be wrong.

     The Democrats have made it plain that they intend to steal the elections by whatever means prove expedient, as Will Briggs wrote above. Thus, the difference between the political consequences of going to live fire and the political consequences of allowing the riots to continue is unpredictable. And that assumes that the elections were to take place after the riots had been suppressed by the military.


     There are no rainbows nor unicorns in our immediate future. There’s strife, and violence, and a deepening of the already deep divisions in the populace. We’ve earned those things with our inanition as the Left has made inroads into our communications, education, and entertainment sectors, and has entrenched itself in our “deep state” bureaucracies. Millions of Americans actively support the insurrectionists. They root for the overthrow of the federal government and the elimination of the rights Americans have enjoyed for more than two centuries. And like “the poor,” they will be “with us” even after the riots have been put down.

     If the military is called upon to suppress the riots, innocents will suffer. But innocents are suffering now. In which case would innocents suffer less – and does it matter which innocents we have in mind?

     Of only one thing am I perfectly sure: as Brigitte Gabriel has said of Muslims, the peaceful majority are irrelevant. They are merely a protective shield around the revolutionary minority. Ponder the Mao Tse-tung quote at the start of this tirade.

     We face a choice of evils. Which is the lesser of the two?

Just When You Begin to Forget How Cray-Cray They Are

 ...they remind you. The pile-on that followed a reasoned argument is head-shakingly baffling. The alleged offense Is composed of trivial points.

And, yet, they persist - in being total lunatics

And, in other news, the stock market is plunging. Now, more suspicious people (not I, of course) might wonder whether this is a manipulated down-burst, designed to do several things:

  • Cause a panic in the market
  • Profit from the down-market, by buying up companies (but, only an evil person would even THINK of that)
  • Give the debate moderators something to hammer Trump on - "why should people vote for you, as your policies have OBVIOUSLY failed to revive this economy?"
  • Affect the early voting, mail-in voting, and - if whoever is responsible manages to milk it for the next two months - the in-person voting

Now, there probably is no one who could even think of doing such a nefarious act.

Who, him?



Now, just because he did it before - right before the 2008 election - doesn't mean that he's trying a replay.

Here's a better explanation of how it happens.

Frankly, we're going to have to grit our teeth, and ignore the attempted trashing of the American economy, and vote regardless. If we don't, we're just asking for the same thing to happen every four years, if the GOP candidate doesn't roll over and play dead (like McCain did).

Public Service Announcements Dept.

     Shamelessly stolen from Mike Miles at Ninety Miles From Tyranny:

     Take it to heart, Gentle Reader. Off with the masks!

Friday, September 4, 2020

How it won't happen

 I still believe the Democrats don't dare put Biden up on a debate stage with Trump. But how to get out of it? Yesterday I came across the first believable plan I've read: a couple of days before the first debate, Biden will be "accidentally" exposed to COVID and will, with deep regret, have to quarantine himself. At most we'll be offered a "debate" between a live Donald Trump and a Joe Biden broadcasting from his basement, with his army of scripts, teleprompters, and helpers kept off-camera. 

A little over three weeks to go. Let's see what happens.

The Direction Of The Money Flow

     One of the things my first agent told me, when I set out to market my first novel, was to beware the scam artists. New writers, excited about their creation and full of hope for its prospects, are unusually vulnerable to scamsters. I, being a callow youth of only 44 – Ah! Those golden days before hypertension, prostatitis, and type 2 diabetes! – was uncertain what would constitute “bewaring” them. The first step would be recognizing a scam artist’s entreaty for what it is. So I asked around: How does one distinguish the scamsters from all others with reasonable reliability? She gave me a simple touchstone:

If he wants you to pay him up front, before you see any revenue, he’s a scam artist.

     “Money,” she said, “should flow to you before it flows from you. The scam artist will promise you the sun, the moon, and the stars if you’ll just purchase his promotional efforts at this really, really low rate – ‘because this book has such potential.’ I know you’re smart, Fran. But don’t imagine you have a more discriminating eye or ear than that. Decline politely and walk away quickly.”

     Words to live by, Gentle Reader. If you write – and these days, who doesn’t? – keep them close to your heart. It will reduce the likelihood that you’ll want to tear that organ out of your chest at some later date.

     Now, these days it’s very difficult for an indie writer to stand out from the crowd. It’s not enough to be good. It’s not enough to be original. It’s not enough to be devastatingly handsome, incomparably brilliant, incredibly witty and charming, and to have a huge...oh, never mind. So we’re all casting about, virtually all the time, for some way of getting attention for our books. And sometimes, the scamsters can seem really, really reasonable.

     So “follow the money.” Make sure it flows to you.


     All that having been said, I’ve occasionally succumbed to wishful thinking and speculated on a promotional technique. For example, I recently contracted for a review from Online Book Club, which appeared (prima facie) to be a legitimate organization. As I mentioned some weeks ago, their reviewer favored The Warm Lands with a positive review. I waited and watched to see whether there would be any impact on my sales...and there wasn’t. I resolved to chalk it up to experience and learn from it.

     But hark! What have I found in today’s email?

Hi!

This is Scott from OnlineBookClub.org. First, let me congratulate on the perfect 4/4 rating that your book earned from our professional review team. Our reviewers are very tough. Most books we review do not get a full 4/4 rating. So you have achieved something genuinely impressive. You should definitely be proud.

As a result, I have issued a special discount on the price of a Book of the Day promotion for your book due to the amazing rating. Book of the Day is an incredible proven way to drastically boost the sales of a book. You can see the full details, including the specially discounted price, all with the link below:

The Warm Lands -
https://forums.onlinebookclub.org/shelves/promo-botd.php?book=447450

---

Have a book not reviewed yet that you want to make Book of the Day? Submit it for review first at:

https://onlinebookclub.org/submit-book.php

View the full advertising options for all of your books at:

https://forums.onlinebookclub.org/authors/social-ads.php

If you have any questions at all or need help with anything, please reply to this email. We are happy to help!

Thank you,
Scott
OnlineBookClub.org

     The first red flag was that my name appears nowhere in the email. The second was the sop to my vanity. So, having already spent a considerable sum on their review, it occurred to me immediately that it would be prudent to check the checkable factual assertion:

     Our reviewers are very tough. Most books we review do not get a full 4/4 rating.

     Izzat so? Well, let’s see about that, shall we?

     Now that Reviews page changes with the passage of time, so your assessment might not match mine. But when I pulled it up this morning, of the 571 reviews on that page, 324 displayed a 4 out of 4 rating. That’s 56.7%, which doesn’t affirm the scarcity of 4 out of 4 reviews; rather the reverse. Given that result, how much credence would you put in the claim that “Book of the Day is an incredible proven way to drastically boost the sales of a book” -- ?

     The discounted price of their “Book of the Day” promotion is $598. So I shall decline to be mulcted further.

     Online Book Club might not be a “pure” scam, but by the available evidence, its claims are hollow at best. Beware, Gentle Readers who write! Let my experience be a protective lesson to you.

     (Cross-posted at my fiction-promotion site.)

The AMEX Game

     If you’re watching for indications of an economic upheaval, there are signs aplenty. However, some of the “traditional” signs have become ambiguous, owing to changes in the ways in which the related goods are traded and their current prices are quoted. For example, I’ve long advocated keeping a close watch on the price of an ounce of gold. Sharp increases in that price once indicated that a wave of price increases would soon be flowing through other important commodities, in response to a previous governmental expansion of the supply of currency and credit (i.e., inflation). But the relationship is no longer a strong one owing to the rise in trade of gold futures. The price of a call contract on some quantity of gold has proved a destabilizing influence on the price of the delivered metal.

     Another indicator that proved reliable over the years was the interest rate lending institutions would charge on a fixed-rate mortgage. This, too, has weakened a bit, under pressure from the Federal Reserve and competition from certain government-operated mortgage lenders and mortgage-guarantee institutions. It’s still worth watching – mortgage interest rates have a large influence on other areas of investment and speculation – but it’s no longer a perfectly reliable signal of inflation about to take its toll.

     There’s one area that continues to be very much worth watching: what I call “the AMEX game.”

     Originally, the American Express company made the greater part of its revenues from “the float:” i.e., its ability to lend money – accrued out of payments made to AMEX on its credit cards – to other institutions for very short terms, typically overnight. Such loans are scheduled to be repaid just as AMEX will need the money to pay the vendors whose products and services the credit-card holders purchased. To profit at this practice requires certain other conditions to be in force:

  • There must be a sufficiency of institutions interested in such short-term loans;
  • The interest rates short-term borrowers are willing to pay must be above a certain level;
  • Personnel skilled at negotiating those short-term loans must be willing to work at doing so;
  • The amounts of money accruing to the would-be lender through credit-card payments must be substantial;
  • The transaction costs of making and controlling the loans must be substantially less than the revenues in prospect.

     Because these conditions are not guaranteed to last – or exist in the first place – the AMEX game is not always a profitable one. At the dawn of consumer credit card usage, AMEX was alone in its market sector, and was able to capitalize on the conditions that existed. Shortly thereafter MasterCharge and Visa entered the fray, found the AMEX had a virtual monopoly over “the float,” and resorted to imposing fees on both users and vendors. Over time those fees declined sharply, many holders of Visa and MasterCards were offered zero-fee arrangements, and AMEX found that it had competition for “float” revenues. For a while, there was plenty of room for the three competitors. The joyous investment markets of the Eighties were hungry for funds with which to capitalize the many start-up businesses that responded to the Reagan tax cuts and the rise of the microcomputer.

     There’s still some “float” play going on today. I don’t think it’s quite as vibrant as it once was; if it were, I’d expect to hear a lot fewer complaints from vendors about credit-card transaction fees. But there are new players in the game that one should note when they appear. The most important of them are the smartphone vendors and phone-applications makers who support pay-by-phone technology.

     Apple was first to make a splash in this area. Other companies have followed suit...which they would not have done were the supporting conditions not in force. The business area is still populating, which suggests that the conditions remain in force as you read this.

     Borrowers copious enough and short-term interest rates high enough to make the AMEX game worth playing suggest that interest rates charged to consumers will soon be affected as well. This is consistent with the unprecedented federal deficit for fiscal year 2020: at this time, estimated to exceed $3 trillion.

     Regular Gentle Readers will already be aware that I’m constitutionally averse to debt. Yet in a regime of rising interest rates, the borrower has an advantage over the lender, for his obligation will be repaid with “cheaper dollars.” There is a terminus to this, of course. When the game collapses and the currency devalues to zero under the pressure of hyperinflation, you don’t want to be stuck holding a mountain of it. But there will always be “timers” who seek to make a quick killing, then “flee to quality” – i.e., tangible goods such as gold and silver – and get out before the crisis strikes.

     Watch for a flood of new players in the AMEX game. Should such a flood occur, it will be time for persons with substantial dollar-denominated savings to adopt measures of financial self-defense. Remember that you read it here first.

CDC - COVID Deaths are Mislabeled

Well, they don't exactly admit it, but, that's what is happening.

I found this link to Victory Girls, where they focus on the CDC report that shows that they have KNOWN that the 'crisis' was heavily manufactured. Other bloggers have also written about it, as well. The Gateway Pundit also had a post about this data.

And, yet, hardly a whisper about the news that, no, COVID will likely NOT kill you. Even Granny is relatively safe, unless, of course, the governor is a Dem.

In that case, make sure Gran's life insurance is paid up, and the will is up-to-date.

This isn't, despite my snide remarks, funny. I, and most of my friends and acquaintances, fall into that potentially vulnerable category of 65+. Many of us have co-morbidities, most commonly excess weight.

Around May of this year, after enough reports supporting the role that obesity plays in COVID deaths, I joined Weight Watchers (I get no compensation for this). I've lost around 20 pounds, and am working to keep the loss going. Aside from improving my odds of surviving an illness, it's been great for my joints to get the weight off. If other seniors take the same tack, the result could be not only longer life, but a more healthy and comfortable one, as well.

The hot spots for this illness need to have their medical claims investigated - at the very least, they have been careless with labeling deaths due to COVID. At worst, this amounts to medical fraud.

A little insight into the World Wildlife Fund.

The WWF is a project of the British Crown and has gathered support from many of the worlds biggest, so called, NGO’s, global financial institutions and governments alike.

Formed in 1961 by the eugenicists Julian Huxley and Max Nicholson (among others), it has relentlessly pursued its goal of depopulation and undemocratic global governance. All done using the ruse of environmental concern as a ploy to cover its appalling objectives.[1]

This excerpt provides yet another peep through the curtain at the current, ongoing disaster in Western civilization. The impression I had from Western Civ 101 of a general trend upward into a world of ever-greater rationality and popular sovereignty has gradually given way to an impression . . . uh, conviction that the West is ruled by a loathsome minority of official and unofficial actors who despise the people who make their world work and all that is good, true, beautiful, or admirable.

They are, moreover, determined to empower -- within limits -- the most destructive and ignorant elements in this world to silence and, ultimately, extinguish their most formidable foes.

Euthanasia, abortion, and draconian family policies give meaning to the lives of such people and you can be certain of one thing -- they will impose them by force. Everything about globalism is corrupt and hugely destructive. Global government will be appalling. However, for some reason, as yet unstated, we need it desperately, just as we do "the Open Society."

Notes
[1] "CCDH – The Centre For Cancel Culture And Digital Hypocrisy – Part 2." By Iain Davis, In This Together, 8/9/20. (underlining added).

Thursday, September 3, 2020

The Educrats Cannot Be Trusted

     Perhaps the college-level ones are the worst of all:

     I received a disturbing note from one of my radio show listeners the other day about a political science lesson that was presented to students at Appalachian State University in North Carolina.

     “The Moral Foundations” questionnaire probed student opinion on some highly charged political statements. Students were asked to either strongly agree, agree, strongly disagree or disagree.

     “If a few of the worst Republican politicians were assassinated, it wouldn’t be the end of the world,” read one of the statements. “Conservatives are morally inferior to liberals.”

     “I am in favor of allowing the government to shut down right-wing internet sites and blogs that promote nutty, hateful positions,” read another. “Political violence can be constructive when it serves the cause of social justice.”

     I reached out to the university’s media relations department as well as the chairman of the government and justice studies program. I gave them 48 hours to respond and provide some context for the lesson. So far, they have not replied to my inquiries.

     Mind you, this “Questionnaire” is being presented to political science students at a state-run, state-supported university. While it does phrase its propositions as “Agree or Disagree,” the relentlessness with which they’re phrased to make hatred and violence of conservatives and Republicans sound acceptable – even mainstream – has terrifying implications.

     Play the Turn-Around Game: Imagine that questionnaire rewritten to target Democrats and the Left. Do you find it thinkable that such a thing would receive university sanction? Do you find it plausible that there would be no outcry against it from the Left?

     I hope none of my Gentle Readers is sending a child to such a “college.”

You Shall Not Be Released...

     ...if the Democrats and their media handmaidens have anything to say about it:

     This past weekend we dropped a direct hit on the Democrat Party, their mainstream media and their coronavirus narrative and all hell broke loose.

     We’ve never seen anything quite like this. Democrats, their fake news media and their ‘fact checker’ allies were completely outraged over our post reporting that only 9,210 Americans died from the coronavirus alone. The rest of the coronavirus victims had different serious illnesses and co-morbidities.

     The other tens of thousands of COVID-19 deaths reported by the CDC have on average 2.6 other health conditions.

     Please read the whole article. Yes, it’s fairly long, but the details are important.

     What I’ve been calling The Pan[dem]ic (alternately, “The Pandemic”) may not have started out as a political tool, but it has most certainly developed into one. The Left hopes to use its ability to inflict “public health emergency” conditions – politically imposed penury and misery – upon millions of helpless Americans to achieve electoral advantage. Anything that undercuts the baseless fear of the Chinese Coronavirus a.k.a. the Wuhan Flu a.k.a. COVID-19 weakens the willingness of private citizens to comply with their “lockdowns” and mask mandates. Neither does it help the Left when their friends in high office, such as Nancy Pelosi, are caught disregaring the “emergency” rules to suit themselves.

     So the proliferation of the CDC’s revised COVID-19 figures is something the Left must prevent at all costs. They who dare to republish them for an audience that doesn’t already haunt the CDC’s website must be punished. Discussion is forbidden!

     A related development: I made an appointment to see my nurse-practitioner for a “wellness check” this coming Friday. She’s a good person, we get along famously, and I was looking forward to chatting with her again...but apparently I shan’t be permitted to do so. I was informed yesterday evening, by robocall, that I must wear a face mask if I want to be admitted to her practice. I immediately canceled the appointment.

     The day has come when physicians are too cowed by a trivial disease – a disease much less dangerous than ordinary influenza – to see patients under normal conditions. Why? Because the state medical-licensing board would take it amiss. Their licenses to practice might be pulled.

     There’s a certain evil logic to this. If the tyrants can’t keep medical personnel “on the reservation,” their whole scheme of oppression will collapse. So they use their licensing bludgeon to make sure no one with the power to prescribe veers off into freedom, that dangerous stuff.

     I got the same treatment from the optometrist I’ve been using for twenty years. I’ve done away with her, too.

     A current of rage is swelling. The conviction that we’ve been duped becomes more widespread with each day. The consequences will not be pleasant:

     It’s time to revolt against this pseudomedical tyranny. Indeed, it was time long ago. The longer we wait, the higher the ultimate cost will be.

Which Side Contains the Totalitarians?

 Is it the Left, or those opposed to their agenda, who:

  • Will use force to ensure that opposition to 'the message' is not tolerated?
  • Cannot express even mild opposition to that message at work, lest they lose their job?
  • Cannot even refuse to voice support for that message in public without being attacked?
  • Has crowds forcing compliance?
  • Sics the dogs of technology on NLDs (Non-Leftist Dissenters)?
    • Taking away social media accounts
    • De-Platforming
    • Pushing VISA, MC, and banks to refuse services to them (is that not what is called 'restraint of trade'?)
    • Using hacking, DOS, and other underhanded means to deny them the ability to speak/write non-approved truth
  • Sending crowds of people to chant, threaten, vandalize their businesses, homes, and places of work?
Rush has it right - we either win this November, or the Left will use government power to shut down all opposition. That is not to say that the Left will quit at that point. We will still be tied up in court, harassed in Congress, stymied by the actions of the Deep State, in any case.

But failure to defeat the Left at the ballot box is "Game Over". And, there is no Replay.

Peak stupidity.

The only moral course for whites is to renounce “white privilege” and to fight “systemic racism” as one of the central purposes of their lives.

Many whites believe this is the greatest moral challenge of our time — but how do we fight racism perpetrated by a “system” and not by people? A recent statement by the National Museum of African American History points the way. It listed undesirable traits of “whiteness” that oppress blacks: linear thinking, rugged individualism, self-reliance, the intact nuclear family, a strong work ethic and delayed gratification, respect for authority, punctuality, planning for the future, English common-law justice, property rights, and good manners.[1]

It's reckless of me to think that we've reached the peak, but, to date, this is it.

The thought does wanders around in my cortex that, if "whiteness" is so awful, what exactly is so great about "blackness"?

Notes
[1] "Why America Has Gone Mad." By Jared Taylor, The Unz Review, 9/1/20.

Wednesday, September 2, 2020

The Last Lap

     I set out to write a short romance, something like my popular Love in the Time of Cinema. I had my Marquee characters. I had my setting – Onteora County, New York; where else? I even had a plot line, and I had solemnly sworn to follow it faithfully. I looked forward to a quick development and an early summer release.

     Then I started having ideas.

     I don’t recall who, but some chess grandmaster long dead once quipped that “When you don’t know what to do, wait for your opponent to get an idea – it’s sure to be wrong!” He might not have been serious...but he spoke the truth. Ideas, you see, are dangerous. Yes, they’re useful as well – sometimes. But an idea that tempts you to rip up several months of work and redo it completely should be regarded with maximum skepticism.

     I tend to get ideas of that sort, ironically enough, when I’ve reached the point from which I’m able to see the goal I’ve sought. One such idea caused me to delay the completion of a novel by several years. Please don’t ask which one; the answer would do you no good and might even upset you. The experience taught me to do something I’d long known about in another context:

     Write it down and go back to what you were doing.

     The “plains of hesitation” quote above is a good one. When the finish line is in sight, don’t pause for a quick change of costume. Don’t stop to contemplate the beauty of the tableau. Don’t call your companions together for a pre-celebration. Cross it. As the Philosopher-King of the Bronx once said, “It ain’t over till it’s over.”

     And watch out for the ideas. When you’ve begun the last lap of the journey, they become almost certainly destructive: Satan whispering in your ear. If you’d like to save an idea for later consideration, write it down. Have a pen and notebook handy for the purpose. (In my experience, ideas you don’t intend to use at once are better saved on paper than in your computer. Writing them down gives them a serious feel. Besides, you could easily misplace a short digital document. It’s happened to me often enough.)

     This most recent intrusion of an idea stopped me for a while. It was seductive in that it was quasi-relevant to the tale I was writing and was connected to other things I’d intended to write...other ideas. And it very nearly derailed me from my romance-under-construction.

     A confession: I did use part of it. And it has cost me some time and effort in backtracking through my manuscript, shoring up passages here and there to provide the required support. I don’t think it’s ruined the tale, though it has compelled me to think of the novel as something other than a pure romance. The readers, whoever and how many they prove to be, will get the last word on that.

     But do watch out for those ideas.

     (Cross-posted at my fiction-promotion site.)

Too Much Time On Somebody's Hands

     I mean, really:

     (Who would work in such a place? Would you?)

Will Women Doom Trump's Chances?

 According to this opinion at MSN, yes.

However, in the rational world, no.

Come on! Even the opportunity to stick it to Trump, AND to vote for the 1st Woman, evah to be elected President, couldn't put Clinton over the top. Even with massive ballot-stuffing, outright fraud, and multiple journalistic and political abuses of power, SHE STILL LOST.



And, Kamala (Comma-La) is no more appealing to voters than Hillary was. Maybe less.

For anyone to vote for Biden-Harris, they'd have to:

  • Be able to delude themselves that Joe was mentally competent.
  • Ignore the sleazy way that Harris got her JUMPED-start with Willie Brown as a - um - helping hand to her political career.
  • Ignore the connection between the Democratic Party and the BLM/AntiFa riots.
  • Not worry about driving the USA completely into bankruptcy. Not that difficult for Dems, they seem to be deficient in math skills.
  • Be unworried about the likelihood that the COVID lockdowns will completely trash the economy beyond repair.
  • Completely overlook the MANY Biden links to corruption, some of it through relatives, but some of it a personal problem.
  • Be happy about Harris being in position to take over the job. And, unconcerned about Pelosi being in the line of succession.
Now, ignoring reality is not that much of a stretch for Democrats - it's what fuels their rosy projections of a Unicorn-based economy with Rainbow Peace for All.

But, even Democrats have to be worried about the depths to which a Blue choice on the ballot could sink this country.

Insight Is Where You Find It

     ...and I’ve found quite a lot at the blog of Mark “Mad Dog” Sherman. Today he gives us this bit of quotidian brilliance about the riots in Portland, Oregon:

     In the past, adults negotiated with time where if they worked hard, on productive endeavors, persevered over long periods, they could then stop working in about 40 years and live comfortably as they aged and their bodies decayed on the fruits of their youthful labor.

     The young Bernie/Biden bolsheviks today do not want to negotiate with time. They do not want to be productive. They believe they should be able to live as they want without the strictures of reality or society, limiting their violence and leisure.

     That might not capture the whole phenomenon, but it certainly explains a big chunk of it. Bravo, Mark.

     On this subject, look for a John Brunner short story titled “Wasted On The Young.” I found it illuminating, especially its depiction of the inevitable consequences of youth profligacy in a society that has decided to sanction it by law.

Tuesday, September 1, 2020

Never Interrupt Your Enemy When He's Making a YUGE Mistake

Which the Left is doing, in the cities, right now.

They decided to Go Hard Left in the places where their most fervent supporters live. In doing so, they have destroyed the cities - NYC, San Fransisco, Portland, OR, Seattle, WA, Chicago, IL - just to name the top locations.

Well, I know it's hard to believe, but some of the same people who were going all "You GO, Gurl/KindaGurl!" when the Glorious Masses erupted into Completely Spontaneous Rebellion - just EXACTLY like that wonderful Broadway show, Les Miserables, the HardCore Committed Left (pocketbooks only, none of that icky street action) saw what the city had become, and - virtually as a group - left.

As in, NOT coming back, I'm Outa Here for Good.

Although they shed tears of regret about losing their Amazing, Vibrant City Experience, they resolutely turned their wagons to the lesser cities of the South, Interior (OMZ! The roads are actually PAVED in those backwards locations! And they have Indoor Plumbing!), and anywhere that is 50-100 miles away from the Urban Hellholes that they created.

And, the prior residents are saying, "There goes the Neighborhood!"


I agree with Steyn - this is a Fork in the Road. I'm NOT willing to cede all of the coastal areas to the Left - rather, I'm willing to cede SMALL sections - western OR and WA, Eastern NYC and Boston, and perhaps a few non-contiguous regions in the Chicago-Milwaukee areas.

That's IT.

If Leftists want to stay in the rest of the country, they can sign an oath of allegiance to the Constitution - minus all Amendments after the 15th. Meaning NO federal income tax, no regulation on alcohol (and, by extension, other substances). Parents will be responsible for keeping their kids unaltered - if they come to school intoxicated, they can be kicked out. Parents' problem, then - either home school them, or enroll them online. Not my problem.

You get pregnant? Your problem. We'll house you in barracks-style fashion, feed you and provide basic medical care for you and your kids.

That's it.

A person in that housing comes in loaded or otherwise engages in criminal behavior? That person is out. If no family member will take the kids, we'll put them up for adoption.

Don't like it? Don't abuse the privilege.

Public schooling? Available for those needing special education - that's often an expensive type of schooling (in less populated areas, this may mean residential/long commutes). Otherwise, we'll provide a set amount for families. If they want to use the public schools, that will cover the cost. If you want to send your kid to other schools, or homeschool, it's yours to keep/spend as you wish.

Roads? If a local community finds the roads unacceptable, they can either:
  • Apply for funds from the state. Spend it on the best company that bids.
  • Go down to the local hardware store, buy the materials to patch holes, and DIY. Save the receipt, take a picture of the hole - before and after - and the geotagged photo can be sent for reimbursement. Heck, they can even arrange for a tax credit for those who did the work.
  • Live with the ruts.
Families can contract for snow removal, salting, garbage pickup, and - what the hell - protection for their community - police and fire. No permanent pension guarantees, just matching for private retirement savings. If a group wants to band together for a VOLUNTARY group retirement fund, they can - but no obligations from the community.

No more letting the Leftists come in and take over. Heck, go ahead and put restrictions on voting/holding office for newcomers. Make them EARN their right to participate (military experience might count for exemption).

The Totalitarians’ Most Successful Gambit Yet

     As I’ve said on other subjects, word gets around. Today it gets around faster than ever before in history. But a mechanism I described in that old essay is taking an uncomfortably long time to bear fruit:

     Something that people in general would want to know is something they will know, eventually. If you assist them in learning it, you will earn their gratitude. If you retard their edification, then when they've finally learned it, if they learn that you were responsible for denying them the data they need, you will reap the whirlwind.

     Now for a few links: the “words” that are starting to “get around:”

     So it’s now a matter of record – and from the Centers for Disease Control, at that – that the COVID-19 virus is about a fifth as dangerous as common influenza. Yet the nation remains gripped by fear of this relatively innocuous bug: a fear artificially produced and stoked by governments and the media. And the Left, which has been casting about for a rationale under which to destroy what remains of Americans’ freedom, is smacking its lips over its success.

“Mass unemployment” due to “automation” didn’t work.
“Deforestation” due to “acid rain” didn’t work.
The “population bomb” didn’t work.
The “energy crisis” didn’t work.
“Resource exhaustion” didn’t work.
“Eco-disaster” and “loss of species” didn’t work.
“Global warming / climate change” didn’t work.

     But this COVID-19 panic...they believe they’ve hit upon a winner there!

     I’m tired of writing encyclopedia-length articles that largely repeat arguments I’ve made and themes I’ve stressed before, so I’m going to cut this one short. But I will remind you of a statement by Argentinian novelist, journalist, and diarist Adolfo Bioy Casares, quoted by the great Thomas Szasz in his book Pharmacracy: Medicine and Politics in America:

     “When man believed that happiness was dependent upon God, he killed for religious reasons. When he believed that happiness was dependent upon the form of government, he killed for political reasons….After dreams that were too long, true nightmares…we arrived at the present period of history. Man woke up, discovered that which we always knew, that happiness is dependent upon health, and began to kill for therapeutic reasons….It is medicine that has come to replace both religion and politics in our time.”

     Still wearing one of those pointless, useless masks, Gentle Reader?